In statistics, a mixture model is a probabilistic model for representing the presence of subpopulations within an overall population, without requiring that an observed data set should identify the sub-population to which an individual observation belongs. Formally a mixture model corresponds to the mixture distribution that represents the probability distribution of observations in the overall population. However, while problems associated with "mixture distributions" relate to deriving the properties of the overall population from those of the sub-populations, "mixture models" are used to make statistical inferences about the properties of the sub-populations given only observations on the pooled population, without sub-population identity information. Mixture models are used for clustering, under the name model-based clustering, and also for density estimation. Mixture models should not be confused with models for compositional data, i.e., data whose components are constrained to sum to a constant value (1, 100%, etc.). However, compositional models can be thought of as mixture models, where members of the population are sampled at random. Conversely, mixture models can be thought of as compositional models, where the total size reading population has been normalized to 1. == Structure == === General mixture model === A typical finite-dimensional mixture model is a hierarchical model consisting of the following components: N random variables that are observed, each distributed according to a mixture of K components, with the components belonging to the same parametric family of distributions (e.g., all normal, all Zipfian, etc.) but with different parameters. However, it is also possible to have a finite mixture model where each component belongs to a different parametric family of distributions, for example, a mixture of a multivariate normal distribution and a generalized hyperbolic distribution. N random latent variables specifying the identity of the mixture component of each observation, each distributed according to a K-dimensional categorical distribution A set of K mixture weights, which are probabilities that sum to 1. A set of K parameters, each specifying the parameter of the corresponding mixture component. In many cases, each "parameter" is actually a set of parameters. For example, if the mixture components are Gaussian distributions, there will be a mean and variance for each component. If the mixture components are categorical distributions (e.g., when each observation is a token from a finite alphabet of size V), there will be a vector of V probabilities summing to 1. In addition, in a Bayesian setting, the mixture weights and parameters will themselves be random variables, and prior distributions will be placed over the variables. In such a case, the weights are typically viewed as a K-dimensional random vector drawn from a Dirichlet distribution (the conjugate prior of the categorical distribution), and the parameters will be distributed according to their respective conjugate priors. Mathematically, a basic parametric mixture model can be described as follows: K = number of mixture components N = number of observations θ i = 1 … K = parameter of distribution of observation associated with component i ϕ i = 1 … K = mixture weight, i.e., prior probability of a particular component i ϕ = K -dimensional vector composed of all the individual ϕ 1 … K ; must sum to 1 z i = 1 … N = component of observation i x i = 1 … N = observation i F ( x | θ ) = probability distribution of an observation, parametrized on θ z i = 1 … N ∼ Categorical ( ϕ ) x i = 1 … N | z i = 1 … N ∼ F ( θ z i ) {\displaystyle {\begin{array}{lcl}K&=&{\text{number of mixture components}}\\N&=&{\text{number of observations}}\\\theta _{i=1\dots K}&=&{\text{parameter of distribution of observation associated with component }}i\\\phi _{i=1\dots K}&=&{\text{mixture weight, i.e., prior probability of a particular component }}i\\{\boldsymbol {\phi }}&=&K{\text{-dimensional vector composed of all the individual }}\phi _{1\dots K}{\text{; must sum to 1}}\\z_{i=1\dots N}&=&{\text{component of observation }}i\\x_{i=1\dots N}&=&{\text{observation }}i\\F(x|\theta )&=&{\text{probability distribution of an observation, parametrized on }}\theta \\z_{i=1\dots N}&\sim &\operatorname {Categorical} ({\boldsymbol {\phi }})\\x_{i=1\dots N}|z_{i=1\dots N}&\sim &F(\theta _{z_{i}})\end{array}}} In a Bayesian setting, all parameters are associated with random variables, as follows: K , N = as above θ i = 1 … K , ϕ i = 1 … K , ϕ = as above z i = 1 … N , x i = 1 … N , F ( x | θ ) = as above α = shared hyperparameter for component parameters β = shared hyperparameter for mixture weights H ( θ | α ) = prior probability distribution of component parameters, parametrized on α θ i = 1 … K ∼ H ( θ | α ) ϕ ∼ S y m m e t r i c - D i r i c h l e t K ( β ) z i = 1 … N | ϕ ∼ Categorical ( ϕ ) x i = 1 … N | z i = 1 … N , θ i = 1 … K ∼ F ( θ z i ) {\displaystyle {\begin{array}{lcl}K,N&=&{\text{as above}}\\\theta _{i=1\dots K},\phi _{i=1\dots K},{\boldsymbol {\phi }}&=&{\text{as above}}\\z_{i=1\dots N},x_{i=1\dots N},F(x|\theta )&=&{\text{as above}}\\\alpha &=&{\text{shared hyperparameter for component parameters}}\\\beta &=&{\text{shared hyperparameter for mixture weights}}\\H(\theta |\alpha )&=&{\text{prior probability distribution of component parameters, parametrized on }}\alpha \\\theta _{i=1\dots K}&\sim &H(\theta |\alpha )\\{\boldsymbol {\phi }}&\sim &\operatorname {Symmetric-Dirichlet} _{K}(\beta )\\z_{i=1\dots N}|{\boldsymbol {\phi }}&\sim &\operatorname {Categorical} ({\boldsymbol {\phi }})\\x_{i=1\dots N}|z_{i=1\dots N},\theta _{i=1\dots K}&\sim &F(\theta _{z_{i}})\end{array}}} This characterization uses F and H to describe arbitrary distributions over observations and parameters, respectively. Typically H will be the conjugate prior of F. The two most common choices of F are Gaussian aka "normal" (for real-valued observations) and categorical (for discrete observations). Other common possibilities for the distribution of the mixture components are: Binomial distribution, for the number of "positive occurrences" (e.g., successes, yes votes, etc.) given a fixed number of total occurrences Multinomial distribution, similar to the binomial distribution, but for counts of multi-way occurrences (e.g., yes/no/maybe in a survey) Negative binomial distribution, for binomial-type observations but where the quantity of interest is the number of failures before a given number of successes occurs Poisson distribution, for the number of occurrences of an event in a given period of time, for an event that is characterized by a fixed rate of occurrence Exponential distribution, for the time before the next event occurs, for an event that is characterized by a fixed rate of occurrence Log-normal distribution, for positive real numbers that are assumed to grow exponentially, such as incomes or prices Multivariate normal distribution (aka multivariate Gaussian distribution), for vectors of correlated outcomes that are individually Gaussian-distributed Multivariate Student's t-distribution, for vectors of heavy-tailed correlated outcomes A vector of Bernoulli-distributed values, corresponding, e.g., to a black-and-white image, with each value representing a pixel; see the handwriting-recognition example below === Specific examples === ==== Gaussian mixture model ==== A typical non-Bayesian Gaussian mixture model looks like this: K , N = as above ϕ i = 1 … K , ϕ = as above z i = 1 … N , x i = 1 … N = as above θ i = 1 … K = { μ i = 1 … K , σ i = 1 … K 2 } μ i = 1 … K = mean of component i σ i = 1 … K 2 = variance of component i z i = 1 … N ∼ Categorical ( ϕ ) x i = 1 … N ∼ N ( μ z i , σ z i 2 ) {\displaystyle {\begin{array}{lcl}K,N&=&{\text{as above}}\\\phi _{i=1\dots K},{\boldsymbol {\phi }}&=&{\text{as above}}\\z_{i=1\dots N},x_{i=1\dots N}&=&{\text{as above}}\\\theta _{i=1\dots K}&=&\{\mu _{i=1\dots K},\sigma _{i=1\dots K}^{2}\}\\\mu _{i=1\dots K}&=&{\text{mean of component }}i\\\sigma _{i=1\dots K}^{2}&=&{\text{variance of component }}i\\z_{i=1\dots N}&\sim &\operatorname {Categorical} ({\boldsymbol {\phi }})\\x_{i=1\dots N}&\sim &{\mathcal {N}}(\mu _{z_{i}},\sigma _{z_{i}}^{2})\end{array}}} A Bayesian version of a Gaussian mixture model is as follows: K , N = as above ϕ i = 1 … K , ϕ = as above z i = 1 … N , x i = 1 … N = as above θ i = 1 … K = { μ i = 1 … K , σ i = 1 … K 2 } μ i = 1 … K = mean of component i σ i = 1 … K 2 = variance of component i μ 0 , λ , ν , σ 0 2 = shared hyperparameters μ i = 1 … K ∼ N ( μ 0 , λ σ i 2 ) σ i = 1 … K 2 ∼ I n v e r s e - G a m m a ( ν , σ 0 2 ) ϕ ∼ S y m m e t r i c - D i r i c h l e t K ( β ) z i = 1 … N ∼ Categorical ( ϕ ) x i = 1 … N ∼ N ( μ z i , σ z i 2 ) {\displaystyle {\begin{array}{lcl}K,N&=&{\text{as above}}\\\phi _{i=1\dots K},{\boldsymbol {\phi }}&=&{\text{as above}}\\z_{i=1\dots N},x_{i=1\dots N}&=&{\text{as above}}\\\theta _{i=1\
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