In 2022, 16.9% (1,620) of the 9,586 Brazilian industrial companies with 100 or more employees used artificial intelligence in their operations Among the companies that used AI, the areas of administration (73.8%), product project development (65.9%), processes, services and marketing (65.1%) were those that used it the most, followed by the areas of production (56.4%) and logistics (48.4%). == Current scenario == === Adoption in Brazilian industrial sectors === In senior management, the majority (56%) of executives have a long-term vision for its use. The study also shows that IT, Innovation, and Marketing are the areas where AI use is most widespread, and that 43% of companies are developing or adapting the algorithms they use. The majority of large institutions that reported some type of AI use purchased these solutions from other companies (76%). Some factors for the adoption of artificial intelligence in companies include the establishment of an autonomous strategy by the company (87.0%), and the influence of suppliers and/or customers (63.0%) and the main difficulties in using technologies were high costs (80.8%), lack of qualified personnel in the company (54.6%) and excessive economic risks (49.5%). Three variables are considered the most relevant to explain the option to use AI: the implementation of a digital security policy, the size of companies with 250 or more employees and the characteristics of the company related to information and communication. When analyzing AI use by company size in Brazil, large companies have the highest proportion of AI use, mainly due to their investment capacity and technology experimentation. However, when comparing Brazil and Europe, indicators show an acceleration in AI use among large European companies, while in Brazil the situation remains stable. In 2023, 30% of large companies in the European bloc used some type of AI, a figure that rose to 41% in 2024, while in Brazil these proportions were 41% in 2023 and 38% in 2024. === Workforce === The challenge of upskilling begins with employees who are capable of understanding recent technological changes. Similarly, companies must create the environment and conditions for workforce development conducive to innovation, and universities must be prepared to provide knowledge aligned with the transition process, which in turn must be supported by public policies. The concern with training a specialized workforce in AI can be seen in the low number of graduates and PhDs in computer science and computer engineering in Brazil, compared to the number shown in other countries. As recorded in the document Recommendations for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence in Brazil, 2019 data from the Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personnel (CAPES) indicate that "the number of PhDs graduated annually in computing remained below 400 in 2016, and is not expected to have increased during the Covid-19 pandemic" (ABC, 2023). In the United States, by contrast, the number of PhDs graduated in these two areas has remained around 1,800 for the past 11 years, and during this period, the number of PhDs specializing in AI jumped from 10% to 19%. Based on data from the CNPq Lattes Platform (October 2019), it is possible to observe that the number of professionals in the AI field in Brazil is 4,429 specialists. This is still a small number compared to the 415,166 IT jobs in the country's business sector alone. === R&D, scientific production and integration with industry === China and the United States lead in the number of publications. These two countries are followed by the G7 members: India, Austria, South Korea, and Spain. Brazil appears in the next group, alongside the Netherlands, Russia, Indonesia, and Ireland. Regarding the promotion of research and technologies related to AI, public entities such as the Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personnel (Capes) and the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq) stood out as the main funders. Currently, different countries and territories have been promoting the development of Artificial Intelligence (AI). In the Brazilian case, one of the main initiatives is the creation of Engineering Research Centers/Applied Research Centers (CPE/CPA) in AI by the São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP), in collaboration with the Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation (MCTI), the Ministry of Communications (MC) and the Brazilian Internet Steering Committee (CGI.br). In terms of the number of patents filed and the volume of investments, the leading nations in AI are the United States, China, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Russia, India, Switzerland, Japan, South Korea, the Netherlands, Sweden, Finland, Ireland, Singapore, Canada, Israel, and Italy. Brazil appears among the top twenty countries in some rankings, mainly due to its good number of publications (approximately 10% of the number of articles published by the United States). The US is home to approximately 60% of the world's top AI researchers, followed by China (11%), Europe (10%), and Canada (6%). To change this scenario, in August 2024, the Brazilian government announced an investment of R$23 billion until 2028 in artificial intelligence, seeking to “transform the country into a global reference in innovation”. == Future challenges == The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (2020) report highlighted three factors that hinder the digital transformation journey and application of AI in Brazil: insufficient infrastructure, high costs due to the tax system, and financial limitations, such as limited access to financing. The costs of adopting technology, its incompatibility with the business, and the lack of training also represent obstacles that Brazilian industry must overcome. There are also inherent obstacles for companies. A McKinsey review emphasizes that once a company chooses one or more sectors to focus on, it must select specific applications. Buyers aren't interested in artificial intelligence simply because it's a breakthrough technology; they want AI to generate a good return on investment, whether by solving specific problems, saving money, or increasing sales. If an AI vendor tried to offer a horizontal solution, the value proposition might not be as compelling. Part of the solution to Brazil's technological backwardness involves building an ecosystem fueled by private institutions, universities, and governments.
List of Ada software and tools
This is a list of software and programming tools for the Ada programming language, including IDEs, compilers, libraries, verification and debugging tools, numerical and scientific computing libraries, and related projects. == Compilers == GNAT — GCC Ada compiler and toolchain, maintained by AdaCore AdaCore GNAT Pro — commercial Ada compiler with advanced tooling for high-integrity and real-time systems Green Hills compiler for Ada — Ada compiler for embedded and safety-critical systems ObjectAda — Ada development environment for safety-critical and embedded systems == Integrated development environments (IDEs) and editors == GNAT Studio — IDE developed by AdaCore Emacs — supports Ada editing with Ada mode and syntax checking Eclipse — supports Ada through GNATbench plugin Visual Studio Code — Ada support via Ada Language Server extensions == Libraries and frameworks == See also: Ada Libraries on Wikibooks Ada.Calendar — date and time library Ada Web Services (AWS) — support for RESTful and SOAP web services Ada.Text_IO — standard library for text input/output Florist (POSIX Ada binding) – open-source implementation of the POSIX Ada bindings GNAT – Ada compiler part of GCC, which also provides an extensive runtime and library package hierarchy. GtkAda – Ada bindings for the GTK+ graphical user interface toolkit Matreshka – multipurpose Ada framework supporting Unicode, XML, JSON, and more. XML/Ada – XML and Unicode processing library == Real-time and embedded systems == Ada tasking — built-in concurrency support with tasks, protected objects, and rendezvous. Ada.Real_Time — real-time clocks, delays, and scheduling. ARINC 653 Ada profiles — for avionics real-time applications OpenMP Ada bindings — parallel programming for multi-core embedded systems Ravenscar profile — subset of Ada tasking for real-time and deterministic execution == Numerical and scientific computing == Ada.Numerics — libraries for numerical methods, linear algebra, and mathematical functions. SPARK math libraries — formal-methods-compliant numerical routines == Verification, debugging, and analysis == GNATprove — formal verification and static analysis tool for Ada and SPARK GNATstack — runtime stack analysis and checking GNATcoverage — code coverage measurement for Ada projects AdaControl — style checking and metrics for Ada == Testing frameworks == AUnit — unit testing framework for Ada GNATtest — automated testing framework for Ada == Documentation and code generation == GNATdoc — generates HTML documentation from Ada source code
Oja's rule
Oja's learning rule, or simply Oja's rule, named after Finnish computer scientist Erkki Oja (Finnish pronunciation: [ˈojɑ], AW-yuh), is a model of how neurons in the brain or in artificial neural networks change connection strength, or learn, over time. It is a modification of the standard Hebb's Rule that, through multiplicative normalization, solves all stability problems and generates an algorithm for principal components analysis. This is a computational form of an effect which is believed to happen in biological neurons. == Theory == Oja's rule requires a number of simplifications to derive, but in its final form it is demonstrably stable, unlike Hebb's rule. It is a single-neuron special case of the Generalized Hebbian Algorithm. However, Oja's rule can also be generalized in other ways to varying degrees of stability and success. === Formula === Consider a simplified model of a neuron y {\displaystyle y} that returns a linear combination of its inputs x using presynaptic weights w: y ( x ) = ∑ j = 1 m x j w j {\displaystyle \,y(\mathbf {x} )~=~\sum _{j=1}^{m}x_{j}w_{j}} Oja's rule defines the change in presynaptic weights w given the output response y {\displaystyle y} of a neuron to its inputs x to be Δ w = w n + 1 − w n = η y n ( x n − y n w n ) , {\displaystyle \,\Delta \mathbf {w} ~=~\mathbf {w} _{n+1}-\mathbf {w} _{n}~=~\eta \,y_{n}(\mathbf {x} _{n}-y_{n}\mathbf {w} _{n}),} where η is the learning rate which can also change with time. Note that the bold symbols are vectors and n defines a discrete time iteration. The rule can also be made for continuous iterations as d w d t = η y ( t ) ( x ( t ) − y ( t ) w ( t ) ) . {\displaystyle \,{\frac {d\mathbf {w} }{dt}}~=~\eta \,y(t)(\mathbf {x} (t)-y(t)\mathbf {w} (t)).} === Derivation === The simplest learning rule known is Hebb's rule, which states in conceptual terms that neurons that fire together, wire together. In component form as a difference equation, it is written Δ w = η y ( x n ) x n {\displaystyle \,\Delta \mathbf {w} ~=~\eta \,y(\mathbf {x} _{n})\mathbf {x} _{n}} , or in scalar form with implicit n-dependence, w i ( n + 1 ) = w i ( n ) + η y ( x ) x i {\displaystyle \,w_{i}(n+1)~=~w_{i}(n)+\eta \,y(\mathbf {x} )x_{i}} , where y(xn) is again the output, this time explicitly dependent on its input vector x. Hebb's rule has synaptic weights approaching infinity with a positive learning rate. We can stop this by normalizing the weights so that each weight's magnitude is restricted between 0, corresponding to no weight, and 1, corresponding to being the only input neuron with any weight. We do this by normalizing the weight vector to be of length one: w i ( n + 1 ) = w i ( n ) + η y ( x ) x i ( ∑ j = 1 m [ w j ( n ) + η y ( x ) x j ] p ) 1 / p {\displaystyle \,w_{i}(n+1)~=~{\frac {w_{i}(n)+\eta \,y(\mathbf {x} )x_{i}}{\left(\sum _{j=1}^{m}[w_{j}(n)+\eta \,y(\mathbf {x} )x_{j}]^{p}\right)^{1/p}}}} . Note that in Oja's original paper, p=2, corresponding to quadrature (root sum of squares), which is the familiar Cartesian normalization rule. However, any type of normalization, even linear, will give the same result without loss of generality. For a small learning rate | η | ≪ 1 {\displaystyle |\eta |\ll 1} the equation can be expanded as a Power series in η {\displaystyle \eta } . w i ( n + 1 ) = w i ( n ) ( ∑ j w j p ( n ) ) 1 / p + η ( y x i ( ∑ j w j p ( n ) ) 1 / p − w i ( n ) ∑ j y x j w j p − 1 ( n ) ( ∑ j w j p ( n ) ) ( 1 + 1 / p ) ) + O ( η 2 ) {\displaystyle \,w_{i}(n+1)~=~{\frac {w_{i}(n)}{\left(\sum _{j}w_{j}^{p}(n)\right)^{1/p}}}~+~\eta \left({\frac {yx_{i}}{\left(\sum _{j}w_{j}^{p}(n)\right)^{1/p}}}-{\frac {w_{i}(n)\sum _{j}yx_{j}w_{j}^{p-1}(n)}{\left(\sum _{j}w_{j}^{p}(n)\right)^{(1+1/p)}}}\right)~+~O(\eta ^{2})} . For small η, our higher-order terms O(η2) go to zero. We again make the specification of a linear neuron, that is, the output of the neuron is equal to the sum of the product of each input and its synaptic weight to the power of p-1, which in the case of p=2 is synaptic weight itself, or y ( x ) = ∑ j = 1 m x j w j p − 1 {\displaystyle \,y(\mathbf {x} )~=~\sum _{j=1}^{m}x_{j}w_{j}^{p-1}} . We also specify that our weights normalize to 1, which will be a necessary condition for stability, so | w | = ( ∑ j = 1 m w j p ) 1 / p = 1 {\displaystyle \,|\mathbf {w} |~=~\left(\sum _{j=1}^{m}w_{j}^{p}\right)^{1/p}~=~1} , which, when substituted into our expansion, gives Oja's rule, or w i ( n + 1 ) = w i ( n ) + η y ( x i − w i ( n ) y ) {\displaystyle \,w_{i}(n+1)~=~w_{i}(n)+\eta \,y(x_{i}-w_{i}(n)y)} . === Stability and PCA === In analyzing the convergence of a single neuron evolving by Oja's rule, one extracts the first principal component, or feature, of a data set. Furthermore, with extensions using the Generalized Hebbian Algorithm, one can create a multi-Oja neural network that can extract as many features as desired, allowing for principal components analysis. A principal component aj is extracted from a dataset x through some associated vector qj, or aj = qj⋅x, and we can restore our original dataset by taking x = ∑ j a j q j {\displaystyle \mathbf {x} ~=~\sum _{j}a_{j}\mathbf {q} _{j}} . In the case of a single neuron trained by Oja's rule, we find the weight vector converges to q1, or the first principal component, as time or number of iterations approaches infinity. We can also define, given a set of input vectors Xi, that its correlation matrix Rij = XiXj has an associated eigenvector given by qj with eigenvalue λj. The variance of outputs of our Oja neuron σ2(n) = ⟨y2(n)⟩ then converges with time iterations to the principal eigenvalue, or lim n → ∞ σ 2 ( n ) = λ 1 {\displaystyle \lim _{n\rightarrow \infty }\sigma ^{2}(n)~=~\lambda _{1}} . These results are derived using Lyapunov function analysis, and they show that Oja's neuron necessarily converges on strictly the first principal component if certain conditions are met in our original learning rule. Most importantly, our learning rate η is allowed to vary with time, but only such that its sum is divergent but its power sum is convergent, that is ∑ n = 1 ∞ η ( n ) = ∞ , ∑ n = 1 ∞ η ( n ) p < ∞ , p > 1 {\displaystyle \sum _{n=1}^{\infty }\eta (n)=\infty ,~~~\sum _{n=1}^{\infty }\eta (n)^{p}<\infty ,~~~p>1} . Our output activation function y(x(n)) is also allowed to be nonlinear and nonstatic, but it must be continuously differentiable in both x and w and have derivatives bounded in time. == Applications == Oja's rule was originally described in Oja's 1982 paper, but the principle of self-organization to which it is applied is first attributed to Alan Turing in 1952. PCA has also had a long history of use before Oja's rule formalized its use in network computation in 1989. The model can thus be applied to any problem of self-organizing mapping, in particular those in which feature extraction is of primary interest. Therefore, Oja's rule has an important place in image and speech processing. It is also useful as it expands easily to higher dimensions of processing, thus being able to integrate multiple outputs quickly. A canonical example is its use in binocular vision. === Biology and Oja's subspace rule === There is clear evidence for both long-term potentiation and long-term depression in biological neural networks, along with a normalization effect in both input weights and neuron outputs. However, while there is no direct experimental evidence yet of Oja's rule active in a biological neural network, a biophysical derivation of a generalization of the rule is possible. Such a derivation requires retrograde signalling from the postsynaptic neuron, which is biologically plausible (see neural backpropagation), and takes the form of Δ w i j ∝ ⟨ x i y j ⟩ − ϵ ⟨ ( c p r e ∗ ∑ k w i k y k ) ⋅ ( c p o s t ∗ y j ) ⟩ , {\displaystyle \Delta w_{ij}~\propto ~\langle x_{i}y_{j}\rangle -\epsilon \left\langle \left(c_{\mathrm {pre} }\sum _{k}w_{ik}y_{k}\right)\cdot \left(c_{\mathrm {post} }y_{j}\right)\right\rangle ,} where as before wij is the synaptic weight between the ith input and jth output neurons, x is the input, y is the postsynaptic output, and we define ε to be a constant analogous the learning rate, and cpre and cpost are presynaptic and postsynaptic functions that model the weakening of signals over time. Note that the angle brackets denote the average and the ∗ operator is a convolution. By taking the pre- and post-synaptic functions into frequency space and combining integration terms with the convolution, we find that this gives an arbitrary-dimensional generalization of Oja's rule known as Oja's Subspace, namely Δ w = C x ⋅ w − w ⋅ C y . {\displaystyle \Delta w~=~Cx\cdot w-w\cdot Cy.}
Mating pool
Mating pool is a concept used in evolutionary algorithms and means a population of parents for the next population. The mating pool is formed by candidate solutions that the selection operators deem to have the highest fitness in the current population. Solutions that are included in the mating pool are referred to as parents. Individual solutions can be repeatedly included in the mating pool, with individuals of higher fitness values having a higher chance of being included multiple times. Crossover operators are then applied to the parents, resulting in recombination of genes recognized as superior. Lastly, random changes in the genes are introduced through mutation operators, increasing the genetic variation in the gene pool. Those two operators improve the chance of creating new, superior solutions. A new generation of solutions is thereby created, the children, who will constitute the next population. Depending on the selection method, the total number of parents in the mating pool can be different to the size of the initial population, resulting in a new population that’s smaller. To continue the algorithm with an equally sized population, random individuals from the old populations can be chosen and added to the new population. At this point, the fitness value of the new solutions is evaluated. If the termination conditions are fulfilled, processes come to an end. Otherwise, they are repeated. The repetition of the steps result in candidate solutions that evolve towards the most optimal solution over time. The genes will become increasingly uniform towards the most optimal gene, a process called convergence. If 95% of the population share the same version of a gene, the gene has converged. When all the individual fitness values have reached the value of the best individual, i.e. all the genes have converged, population convergence is achieved. == Mating pool creation == Several methods can be applied to create a mating pool. All of these processes involve the selective breeding of a particular number of individuals within a population. There are multiple criteria that can be employed to determine which individuals make it into the mating pool and which are left behind. The selection methods can be split into three general types: fitness proportionate selection, ordinal based selection and threshold based selection. === Fitness proportionate selection === In the case of fitness proportionate selection, random individuals are selected to enter the pool. However, the ones with a higher level of fitness are more likely to be picked and therefore have a greater chance of passing on their features to the next generation. One of the techniques used in this type of parental selection is the roulette wheel selection. This approach divides a hypothetical circular wheel into different slots, the size of which is equal to the fitness values of each potential candidate. Afterwards, the wheel is rotated and a fixed point determines which individual gets picked. The greater the fitness value of an individual, the higher the probability of being chosen as a parent by the random spin of the wheel. Alternatively, stochastic universal sampling can be implemented. This selection method is also based on the rotation of a spinning wheel. However, in this case there is more than one fixed point and as a result all of the mating pool members will be selected simultaneously. === Ordinal based selection === The ordinal based selection methods include the tournament and ranking selection. Tournament selection involves the random selection of individuals of a population and the subsequent comparison of their fitness levels. The winners of these “tournaments” are the ones with the highest values and will be put into the mating pool as parents. In ranking selection all the individuals are sorted based on their fitness values. Then, the selection of the parents is made according to the rank of the candidates. Every individual has a chance of being chosen, but higher ranked ones are favored === Threshold based selection === The last type of selection method is referred to as the threshold based method. This includes the truncation selection method, which sorts individuals based on their phenotypic values on a specific trait and later selects the proportion of them that are within a certain threshold as parents.
Loss function
In mathematical optimization and decision theory, a loss function or cost function (sometimes also called an error function) is a function that maps an event or values of one or more variables onto a real number intuitively representing some "cost" associated with the event. An optimization problem seeks to minimize a loss function. An objective function is either a loss function or its opposite (in specific domains, variously called a reward function, a profit function, a utility function, a fitness function, etc.), in which case it is to be maximized. The loss function could include terms from several levels of the hierarchy. In statistics, typically a loss function is used for parameter estimation, and the event in question is some function of the difference between estimated and true values for an instance of data. The concept, as old as Laplace, was reintroduced in statistics by Abraham Wald in the middle of the 20th century. In the context of economics, for example, this is usually economic cost or regret. In classification, it is the penalty for an incorrect classification of an example. In actuarial science, it is used in an insurance context to model benefits paid over premiums, particularly since the works of Harald Cramér in the 1920s. In optimal control, the loss is the penalty for failing to achieve a desired value. In financial risk management, the function is mapped to a monetary loss. == Examples == === Regret === Leonard J. Savage argued that using non-Bayesian methods such as minimax, the loss function should be based on the idea of regret, i.e., the loss associated with a decision should be the difference between the consequences of the best decision that could have been made under circumstances will be known and the decision that was in fact taken before they were known. === Quadratic loss function === The use of a quadratic loss function is common, for example when using least squares techniques. It is often more mathematically tractable than other loss functions because of the properties of variances, as well as being symmetric: an error above the target causes the same loss as the same magnitude of error below the target. If the target is t {\displaystyle t} , then a quadratic loss function is λ ( x ) = C ( t − x ) 2 {\displaystyle \lambda (x)=C(t-x)^{2}\;} for some constant C {\displaystyle C} ; the value of the constant makes no difference to a decision, and can be ignored by setting it equal to 1. This is also known as the squared error loss (SEL). Many common statistics, including t-tests, regression models, design of experiments, and much else, use least squares methods applied using linear regression theory, which is based on the quadratic loss function. The quadratic loss function is also used in linear-quadratic optimal control problems. In these problems, even in the absence of uncertainty, it may not be possible to achieve the desired values of all target variables. Often loss is expressed as a quadratic form in the deviations of the variables of interest from their desired values; this approach is tractable because it results in linear first-order conditions. In the context of stochastic control, the expected value of the quadratic form is used. The quadratic loss assigns more importance to outliers than to the true data due to its square nature, so alternatives like the Huber, log-cosh and SMAE losses are used when the data has many large outliers. === 0-1 loss function === In statistics and decision theory, a frequently used loss function is the 0-1 loss function L ( y ^ , y ) = { 0 if y = y ^ 1 if y ≠ y ^ {\displaystyle L({\hat {y}},y)={\begin{cases}0&{\text{if }}y={\hat {y}}\\1&{\text{if }}y\neq {\hat {y}}\end{cases}}} In information theory, this loss function is known as Hamming distortion. == Constructing loss and objective functions == In many applications, objective functions, including loss functions as a particular case, are determined by the problem formulation. In other situations, the decision maker’s preference must be elicited and represented by a scalar-valued function (called also utility function) in a form suitable for optimization — the problem that Ragnar Frisch has highlighted in his Nobel Prize lecture. The existing methods for constructing objective functions are collected in the proceedings of two dedicated conferences. In particular, Andranik Tangian showed that the most usable objective functions — quadratic and additive — are determined by a few indifference points. He used this property in the models for constructing these objective functions from either ordinal or cardinal data that were elicited through computer-assisted interviews with decision makers. Among other things, he constructed objective functions to optimally distribute budgets for 16 Westfalian universities and the European subsidies for equalizing unemployment rates among 271 German regions. == Expected loss == In some contexts, the value of the loss function itself is a random quantity because it depends on the outcome of a random variable X {\displaystyle X} . === Statistics === Both frequentist and Bayesian statistical theory involve making a decision based on the expected value of the loss function; however, this quantity is defined differently under the two paradigms. ==== Frequentist expected loss ==== We first define the expected loss in the frequentist context. It is obtained by taking the expected value with respect to the probability distribution, P θ {\displaystyle P_{\theta }} , of the observed data, X {\displaystyle X} . This is also referred to as the risk function of the decision rule δ {\displaystyle \delta } and the parameter θ {\displaystyle \theta } . Here the decision rule depends on the outcome of X {\displaystyle X} . The risk function is given by: R ( θ , δ ) = E θ L ( θ , δ ( X ) ) = ∫ X L ( θ , δ ( x ) ) d P θ ( x ) . {\displaystyle R(\theta ,\delta )=\operatorname {E} _{\theta }L{\big (}\theta ,\delta (X){\big )}=\int _{X}L{\big (}\theta ,\delta (x){\big )}\,\mathrm {d} P_{\theta }(x).} Here, θ {\displaystyle \theta } is a fixed but possibly unknown state of nature, X {\displaystyle X} is a vector of observations stochastically drawn from a population, E θ {\displaystyle \operatorname {E} _{\theta }} is the expectation over all population values of X {\displaystyle X} , d P θ {\displaystyle \mathrm {d} P_{\theta }} is a probability measure over the event space of X {\displaystyle X} (parametrized by θ {\displaystyle \theta } ) and the integral is evaluated over the entire support of X {\displaystyle X} . ==== Bayes Risk ==== In a Bayesian approach, the expectation is calculated using the prior distribution π ∗ {\displaystyle \pi ^{}} of the parameter θ {\displaystyle \theta } : ρ ( π ∗ , a ) = ∫ Θ ∫ X L ( θ , a ( x ) ) d P ( x | θ ) d π ∗ ( θ ) = ∫ X ∫ Θ L ( θ , a ( x ) ) d π ∗ ( θ | x ) d M ( x ) {\displaystyle \rho (\pi ^{},a)=\int _{\Theta }\int _{\mathbf {X}}L(\theta ,a({\mathbf {x}}))\,\mathrm {d} P({\mathbf {x}}\vert \theta )\,\mathrm {d} \pi ^{}(\theta )=\int _{\mathbf {X}}\int _{\Theta }L(\theta ,a({\mathbf {x}}))\,\mathrm {d} \pi ^{}(\theta \vert {\mathbf {x}})\,\mathrm {d} M({\mathbf {x}})} where M ( x ) {\displaystyle M(\mathbf {x} )} is known as the predictive likelihood wherein θ {\displaystyle \theta } has been "integrated out," π ∗ ( θ | x ) {\displaystyle \pi ^{}(\theta |\mathbf {x} )} is the posterior distribution, and the order of integration has been changed. One then should choose the action a ∗ {\displaystyle a^{}} which minimises this expected loss, which is referred to as Bayes Risk. In the latter equation, the integrand inside d x {\displaystyle \mathrm {d} x} is known as the Posterior Risk, and minimising it with respect to decision a {\displaystyle a} also minimizes the overall Bayes Risk. This optimal decision, a ∗ {\displaystyle a^{}} is known as the Bayes (decision) Rule - it minimises the average loss over all possible states of nature θ {\displaystyle \theta } , over all possible (probability-weighted) data outcomes. One advantage of the Bayesian approach is to that one need only choose the optimal action under the actual observed data to obtain a uniformly optimal one, whereas choosing the actual frequentist optimal decision rule as a function of all possible observations, is a much more difficult problem. Of equal importance though, the Bayes Rule reflects consideration of loss outcomes under different states of nature, θ {\displaystyle \theta } . ==== Examples in statistics ==== For a scalar parameter θ {\displaystyle \theta } , a decision function whose output θ ^ {\displaystyle {\hat {\theta }}} is an estimate of θ {\displaystyle \theta } , and a quadratic loss function (squared error loss) L ( θ , θ ^ ) = ( θ − θ ^ ) 2 , {\displaystyle L(\theta ,{\hat {\theta }})=(\theta -{\hat {\theta }})^{2},} the risk function becomes the mean squared error of the estimate, R ( θ , θ ^ ) = E θ [ ( θ − θ ^ ) 2 ] . {\displaystyle R(\theta ,{\hat {\thet
Action model learning
Action model learning (sometimes abbreviated action learning) is an area of machine learning concerned with the creation and modification of a software agent's knowledge about the effects and preconditions of the actions that can be executed within its environment. This knowledge is usually represented in a logic-based action description language and used as input for automated planners. Learning action models is important when goals change. When an agent acted for a while, it can use its accumulated knowledge about actions in the domain to make better decisions. Thus, learning action models differs from reinforcement learning. It enables reasoning about actions instead of expensive trials in the world. Action model learning is a form of inductive reasoning, where new knowledge is generated based on the agent's observations. The usual motivation for action model learning is the fact that manual specification of action models for planners is often a difficult, time-consuming, and error-prone task (especially in complex environments). == Action models == Given a training set E {\displaystyle E} consisting of examples e = ( s , a , s ′ ) {\displaystyle e=(s,a,s')} , where s , s ′ {\displaystyle s,s'} are observations of a world state from two consecutive time steps t , t ′ {\displaystyle t,t'} and a {\displaystyle a} is an action instance observed in time step t {\displaystyle t} , the goal of action model learning in general is to construct an action model ⟨ D , P ⟩ {\displaystyle \langle D,P\rangle } , where D {\displaystyle D} is a description of domain dynamics in action description formalism like STRIPS, ADL or PDDL and P {\displaystyle P} is a probability function defined over the elements of D {\displaystyle D} . However, many state of the art action learning methods assume determinism and do not induce P {\displaystyle P} . In addition to determinism, individual methods differ in how they deal with other attributes of domain (e.g. partial observability or sensoric noise). == Action learning methods == === State of the art === Recent action learning methods take various approaches and employ a wide variety of tools from different areas of artificial intelligence and computational logic. As an example of a method based on propositional logic, we can mention SLAF (Simultaneous Learning and Filtering) algorithm, which uses agent's observations to construct a long propositional formula over time and subsequently interprets it using a satisfiability (SAT) solver. Another technique, in which learning is converted into a satisfiability problem (weighted MAX-SAT in this case) and SAT solvers are used, is implemented in ARMS (Action-Relation Modeling System). Two mutually similar, fully declarative approaches to action learning were based on logic programming paradigm Answer Set Programming (ASP) and its extension, Reactive ASP. In another example, bottom-up inductive logic programming approach was employed. Several different solutions are not directly logic-based. For example, the action model learning using a perceptron algorithm or the multi level greedy search over the space of possible action models. In the older paper from 1992, the action model learning was studied as an extension of reinforcement learning. Nonetheless, further algorithms can be found that operate under different assumptions: FAMA can work even when some observations are missing, and it produces a general (lifted) planning model. It treats learning an action model like a planning problem, making sure the learned model matches the observations given. NOLAM can learn general action models even from noisy or imperfect data. LOCM focuses only on the order of actions in the data, ignoring any details about the states between those actions. The family of safe action model (SAM) learning methods create models that guarantee any plans made with them will actually work in the real world. There's also an extension called N-SAM that can learn action models with numeric conditions and effects. Additionally, numeric action models like N-SAM can be used to improve reinforcement learning (RL) performance through the RAMP algorithm. === Literature === Most action learning research papers are published in journals and conferences focused on artificial intelligence in general (e.g. Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research (JAIR), Artificial Intelligence, Applied Artificial Intelligence (AAI) or AAAI conferences). Despite mutual relevance of the topics, action model learning is usually not addressed in planning conferences like the International Conference on Automated Planning and Scheduling (ICAPS).
Modes of variation
In statistics, modes of variation are a continuously indexed set of vectors or functions that are centered at a mean and are used to depict the variation in a population or sample. Typically, variation patterns in the data can be decomposed in descending order of eigenvalues with the directions represented by the corresponding eigenvectors or eigenfunctions. Modes of variation provide a visualization of this decomposition and an efficient description of variation around the mean. Both in principal component analysis (PCA) and in functional principal component analysis (FPCA), modes of variation play an important role in visualizing and describing the variation in the data contributed by each eigencomponent. In real-world applications, the eigencomponents and associated modes of variation aid to interpret complex data, especially in exploratory data analysis (EDA). == Formulation == Modes of variation are a natural extension of PCA and FPCA. === Modes of variation in PCA === If a random vector X = ( X 1 , X 2 , ⋯ , X p ) T {\displaystyle \mathbf {X} =(X_{1},X_{2},\cdots ,X_{p})^{T}} has the mean vector μ p {\displaystyle {\boldsymbol {\mu }}_{p}} , and the covariance matrix Σ p × p {\displaystyle \mathbf {\Sigma } _{p\times p}} with eigenvalues λ 1 ≥ λ 2 ≥ ⋯ ≥ λ p ≥ 0 {\displaystyle \lambda _{1}\geq \lambda _{2}\geq \cdots \geq \lambda _{p}\geq 0} and corresponding orthonormal eigenvectors e 1 , e 2 , ⋯ , e p {\displaystyle \mathbf {e} _{1},\mathbf {e} _{2},\cdots ,\mathbf {e} _{p}} , by eigendecomposition of a real symmetric matrix, the covariance matrix Σ {\displaystyle \mathbf {\Sigma } } can be decomposed as Σ = Q Λ Q T , {\displaystyle \mathbf {\Sigma } =\mathbf {Q} \mathbf {\Lambda } \mathbf {Q} ^{T},} where Q {\displaystyle \mathbf {Q} } is an orthogonal matrix whose columns are the eigenvectors of Σ {\displaystyle \mathbf {\Sigma } } , and Λ {\displaystyle \mathbf {\Lambda } } is a diagonal matrix whose entries are the eigenvalues of Σ {\displaystyle \mathbf {\Sigma } } . By the Karhunen–Loève expansion for random vectors, one can express the centered random vector in the eigenbasis X − μ = ∑ k = 1 p ξ k e k , {\displaystyle \mathbf {X} -{\boldsymbol {\mu }}=\sum _{k=1}^{p}\xi _{k}\mathbf {e} _{k},} where ξ k = e k T ( X − μ ) {\displaystyle \xi _{k}=\mathbf {e} _{k}^{T}(\mathbf {X} -{\boldsymbol {\mu }})} is the principal component associated with the k {\displaystyle k} -th eigenvector e k {\displaystyle \mathbf {e} _{k}} , with the properties E ( ξ k ) = 0 , Var ( ξ k ) = λ k , {\displaystyle \operatorname {E} (\xi _{k})=0,\operatorname {Var} (\xi _{k})=\lambda _{k},} and E ( ξ k ξ l ) = 0 for l ≠ k . {\displaystyle \operatorname {E} (\xi _{k}\xi _{l})=0\ {\text{for}}\ l\neq k.} Then the k {\displaystyle k} -th mode of variation of X {\displaystyle \mathbf {X} } is the set of vectors, indexed by α {\displaystyle \alpha } , m k , α = μ ± α λ k e k , α ∈ [ − A , A ] , {\displaystyle \mathbf {m} _{k,\alpha }={\boldsymbol {\mu }}\pm \alpha {\sqrt {\lambda _{k}}}\mathbf {e} _{k},\alpha \in [-A,A],} where A {\displaystyle A} is typically selected as 2 or 3 {\displaystyle 2\ {\text{or}}\ 3} . === Modes of variation in FPCA === For a square-integrable random function X ( t ) , t ∈ T ⊂ R p {\displaystyle X(t),t\in {\mathcal {T}}\subset R^{p}} , where typically p = 1 {\displaystyle p=1} and T {\displaystyle {\mathcal {T}}} is an interval, denote the mean function by μ ( t ) = E ( X ( t ) ) {\displaystyle \mu (t)=\operatorname {E} (X(t))} , and the covariance function by G ( s , t ) = Cov ( X ( s ) , X ( t ) ) = ∑ k = 1 ∞ λ k φ k ( s ) φ k ( t ) , {\displaystyle G(s,t)=\operatorname {Cov} (X(s),X(t))=\sum _{k=1}^{\infty }\lambda _{k}\varphi _{k}(s)\varphi _{k}(t),} where λ 1 ≥ λ 2 ≥ ⋯ ≥ 0 {\displaystyle \lambda _{1}\geq \lambda _{2}\geq \cdots \geq 0} are the eigenvalues and { φ 1 , φ 2 , ⋯ } {\displaystyle \{\varphi _{1},\varphi _{2},\cdots \}} are the orthonormal eigenfunctions of the linear Hilbert–Schmidt operator G : L 2 ( T ) → L 2 ( T ) , G ( f ) = ∫ T G ( s , t ) f ( s ) d s . {\displaystyle G:L^{2}({\mathcal {T}})\rightarrow L^{2}({\mathcal {T}}),\,G(f)=\int _{\mathcal {T}}G(s,t)f(s)ds.} By the Karhunen–Loève theorem, one can express the centered function in the eigenbasis, X ( t ) − μ ( t ) = ∑ k = 1 ∞ ξ k φ k ( t ) , {\displaystyle X(t)-\mu (t)=\sum _{k=1}^{\infty }\xi _{k}\varphi _{k}(t),} where ξ k = ∫ T ( X ( t ) − μ ( t ) ) φ k ( t ) d t {\displaystyle \xi _{k}=\int _{\mathcal {T}}(X(t)-\mu (t))\varphi _{k}(t)dt} is the k {\displaystyle k} -th principal component with the properties E ( ξ k ) = 0 , Var ( ξ k ) = λ k , {\displaystyle \operatorname {E} (\xi _{k})=0,\operatorname {Var} (\xi _{k})=\lambda _{k},} and E ( ξ k ξ l ) = 0 for l ≠ k . {\displaystyle \operatorname {E} (\xi _{k}\xi _{l})=0{\text{ for }}l\neq k.} Then the k {\displaystyle k} -th mode of variation of X ( t ) {\displaystyle X(t)} is the set of functions, indexed by α {\displaystyle \alpha } , m k , α ( t ) = μ ( t ) ± α λ k φ k ( t ) , t ∈ T , α ∈ [ − A , A ] {\displaystyle m_{k,\alpha }(t)=\mu (t)\pm \alpha {\sqrt {\lambda _{k}}}\varphi _{k}(t),\ t\in {\mathcal {T}},\ \alpha \in [-A,A]} that are viewed simultaneously over the range of α {\displaystyle \alpha } , usually for A = 2 or 3 {\displaystyle A=2\ {\text{or}}\ 3} . == Estimation == The formulation above is derived from properties of the population. Estimation is needed in real-world applications. The key idea is to estimate mean and covariance. === Modes of variation in PCA === Suppose the data x 1 , x 2 , ⋯ , x n {\displaystyle \mathbf {x} _{1},\mathbf {x} _{2},\cdots ,\mathbf {x} _{n}} represent n {\displaystyle n} independent drawings from some p {\displaystyle p} -dimensional population X {\displaystyle \mathbf {X} } with mean vector μ {\displaystyle {\boldsymbol {\mu }}} and covariance matrix Σ {\displaystyle \mathbf {\Sigma } } . These data yield the sample mean vector x ¯ {\displaystyle {\overline {\mathbf {x} }}} , and the sample covariance matrix S {\displaystyle \mathbf {S} } with eigenvalue-eigenvector pairs ( λ ^ 1 , e ^ 1 ) , ( λ ^ 2 , e ^ 2 ) , ⋯ , ( λ ^ p , e ^ p ) {\displaystyle ({\hat {\lambda }}_{1},{\hat {\mathbf {e} }}_{1}),({\hat {\lambda }}_{2},{\hat {\mathbf {e} }}_{2}),\cdots ,({\hat {\lambda }}_{p},{\hat {\mathbf {e} }}_{p})} . Then the k {\displaystyle k} -th mode of variation of X {\displaystyle \mathbf {X} } can be estimated by m ^ k , α = x ¯ ± α λ ^ k e ^ k , α ∈ [ − A , A ] . {\displaystyle {\hat {\mathbf {m} }}_{k,\alpha }={\overline {\mathbf {x} }}\pm \alpha {\sqrt {{\hat {\lambda }}_{k}}}{\hat {\mathbf {e} }}_{k},\alpha \in [-A,A].} === Modes of variation in FPCA === Consider n {\displaystyle n} realizations X 1 ( t ) , X 2 ( t ) , ⋯ , X n ( t ) {\displaystyle X_{1}(t),X_{2}(t),\cdots ,X_{n}(t)} of a square-integrable random function X ( t ) , t ∈ T {\displaystyle X(t),t\in {\mathcal {T}}} with the mean function μ ( t ) = E ( X ( t ) ) {\displaystyle \mu (t)=\operatorname {E} (X(t))} and the covariance function G ( s , t ) = Cov ( X ( s ) , X ( t ) ) {\displaystyle G(s,t)=\operatorname {Cov} (X(s),X(t))} . Functional principal component analysis provides methods for the estimation of μ ( t ) {\displaystyle \mu (t)} and G ( s , t ) {\displaystyle G(s,t)} in detail, often involving point wise estimate and interpolation. Substituting estimates for the unknown quantities, the k {\displaystyle k} -th mode of variation of X ( t ) {\displaystyle X(t)} can be estimated by m ^ k , α ( t ) = μ ^ ( t ) ± α λ ^ k φ ^ k ( t ) , t ∈ T , α ∈ [ − A , A ] . {\displaystyle {\hat {m}}_{k,\alpha }(t)={\hat {\mu }}(t)\pm \alpha {\sqrt {{\hat {\lambda }}_{k}}}{\hat {\varphi }}_{k}(t),t\in {\mathcal {T}},\alpha \in [-A,A].} == Applications == Modes of variation are useful to visualize and describe the variation patterns in the data sorted by the eigenvalues. In real-world applications, modes of variation associated with eigencomponents allow to interpret complex data, such as the evolution of function traits and other infinite-dimensional data. To illustrate how modes of variation work in practice, two examples are shown in the graphs to the right, which display the first two modes of variation. The solid curve represents the sample mean function. The dashed, dot-dashed, and dotted curves correspond to modes of variation with α = ± 1 , ± 2 , {\displaystyle \alpha =\pm 1,\pm 2,} and ± 3 {\displaystyle \pm 3} , respectively. The first graph displays the first two modes of variation of female mortality data from 41 countries in 2003. The object of interest is log hazard function between ages 0 and 100 years. The first mode of variation suggests that the variation of female mortality is smaller for ages around 0 or 100, and larger for ages around 25. An appropriate and intuitive interpretation is that mortality around 25 is driven by accidental death, while around 0 or 100, mortality is related to congenital disease or natural death. Compared to female mortality