AI Detector By Quillbot

AI Detector By Quillbot — independent reviews, comparisons, pricing and step-by-step guides on Aizhi.

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  IT baseline protection

  The IT baseline protection (German: IT-Grundschutz) approach from the German Federal Office for Information Security (BSI) is a methodology to identify and implement computer security measures in an organization. The aim is the achievement of an adequate and appropriate level of security for IT systems. To reach this goal the BSI recommends "well-proven technical, organizational, personnel, and infrastructural safeguards". Organizations and federal agencies show their systematic approach to secure their IT systems (e.g. Information Security Management System) by obtaining an ISO/IEC 27001 Certificate on the basis of IT-Grundschutz. == Overview baseline security == The term baseline security signifies standard security measures for typical IT systems. It is used in various contexts with somewhat different meanings. For example: Microsoft Baseline Security Analyzer: Software tool focused on Microsoft operating system and services security Cisco security baseline: Vendor recommendation focused on network and network device security controls Nortel baseline security: Set of requirements and best practices with a focus on network operators ISO/IEC 13335-3 defines a baseline approach to risk management. This standard has been replaced by ISO/IEC 27005, but the baseline approach was not taken over yet into the 2700x series. There are numerous internal baseline security policies for organizations, The German BSI has a comprehensive baseline security standard, that is compliant with the ISO/IEC 27000-series == BSI IT baseline protection == The foundation of an IT baseline protection concept is initially not a detailed risk analysis. It proceeds from overall hazards. Consequently, sophisticated classification according to damage extent and probability of occurrence is ignored. Three protection needs categories are established. With their help, the protection needs of the object under investigation can be determined. Based on these, appropriate personnel, technical, organizational and infrastructural security measures are selected from the IT Baseline Protection Catalogs. The Federal Office for Security in Information Technology's IT Baseline Protection Catalogs offer a "cookbook recipe" for a normal level of protection. Besides probability of occurrence and potential damage extents, implementation costs are also considered. By using the Baseline Protection Catalogs, costly security analyses requiring expert knowledge are dispensed with, since overall hazards are worked with in the beginning. It is possible for the relative layman to identify measures to be taken and to implement them in cooperation with professionals. The BSI grants a baseline protection certificate as confirmation for the successful implementation of baseline protection. In stages 1 and 2, this is based on self declaration. In stage 3, an independent, BSI-licensed auditor completes an audit. Certification process internationalization has been possible since 2006. ISO/IEC 27001 certification can occur simultaneously with IT baseline protection certification. (The ISO/IEC 27001 standard is the successor of BS 7799-2). This process is based on the new BSI security standards. This process carries a development price which has prevailed for some time. Corporations having themselves certified under the BS 7799-2 standard are obliged to carry out a risk assessment. To make it more comfortable, most deviate from the protection needs analysis pursuant to the IT Baseline Protection Catalogs. The advantage is not only conformity with the strict BSI, but also attainment of BS 7799-2 certification. Beyond this, the BSI offers a few help aids like the policy template and the GSTOOL. One data protection component is available, which was produced in cooperation with the German Federal Commissioner for Data Protection and Freedom of Information and the state data protection authorities and integrated into the IT Baseline Protection Catalog. This component is not considered, however, in the certification process. == Baseline protection process == The following steps are taken pursuant to the baseline protection process during structure analysis and protection needs analysis: The IT network is defined. IT structure analysis is carried out. Protection needs determination is carried out. A baseline security check is carried out. IT baseline protection measures are implemented. Creation occurs in the following steps: IT structure analysis (survey) Assessment of protection needs Selection of actions Running comparison of nominal and actual. === IT structure analysis === An IT network includes the totality of infrastructural, organizational, personnel, and technical components serving the fulfillment of a task in a particular information processing application area. An IT network can thereby encompass the entire IT character of an institution or individual division, which is partitioned by organizational structures as, for example, a departmental network, or as shared IT applications, for example, a personnel information system. It is necessary to analyze and document the information technological structure in question to generate an IT security concept and especially to apply the IT Baseline Protection Catalogs. Due to today's usually heavily networked IT systems, a network topology plan offers a starting point for the analysis. The following aspects must be taken into consideration: The available infrastructure, The organizational and personnel framework for the IT network, Networked and non-networked IT systems employed in the IT network. The communications connections between IT systems and externally, IT applications run within the IT network. === Protection needs determination === The purpose of the protection needs determination is to investigate what protection is sufficient and appropriate for the information and information technology in use. In this connection, the damage to each application and the processed information, which could result from a breach of confidentiality, integrity or availability, is considered. Important in this context is a realistic assessment of the possible follow-on damages. A division into the three protection needs categories "low to medium", "high" and "very high" has proved itself of value. "Public", "internal" and "secret" are often used for confidentiality. === Modelling === Heavily networked IT systems typically characterize information technology in government and business these days. As a rule, therefore, it is advantageous to consider the entire IT system and not just individual systems within the scope of an IT security analysis and concept. To be able to manage this task, it makes sense to logically partition the entire IT system into parts and to separately consider each part or even an IT network. Detailed documentation about its structure is prerequisite for the use of the IT Baseline Protection Catalogs on an IT network. This can be achieved, for example, via the IT structure analysis described above. The IT Baseline Protection Catalog’s' components must ultimately be mapped onto the components of the IT network in question in a modelling step. === Baseline security check === The baseline security check is an organisational instrument offering a quick overview of the prevailing IT security level. With the help of interviews, the status quo of an existing IT network (as modelled by IT baseline protection) relative to the number of security measures implemented from the IT Baseline Protection Catalogs are investigated. The result is a catalog in which the implementation status "dispensable", "yes", "partly", or "no" is entered for each relevant measure. By identifying not yet, or only partially, implemented measures, improvement options for the security of the information technology in question are highlighted. The baseline security check gives information about measures, which are still missing (nominal vs. actual comparison). From this follows what remains to be done to achieve baseline protection through security. Not all measures suggested by this baseline check need to be implemented. Peculiarities are to be taken into account! It could be that several more or less unimportant applications are running on a server, which have lesser protection needs. In their totality, however, these applications are to be provided with a higher level of protection. This is called the (cumulation effect). The applications running on a server determine its need for protection. Several IT applications can run on an IT system. When this occurs, the application with the greatest need for protection determines the IT system’s protection category. Conversely, it is conceivable that an IT application with great protection needs does not automatically transfer this to the IT system. This may happen because the IT system is configured redundantly, or because only an inconsequential part is running on it. This is called the (distribution effect). This is the case, fo

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  Promoter based genetic algorithm

  The promoter based genetic algorithm (PBGA) is a genetic algorithm for neuroevolution developed by F. Bellas and R.J. Duro in the Integrated Group for Engineering Research (GII) at the University of Coruña, in Spain. It evolves variable size feedforward artificial neural networks (ANN) that are encoded into sequences of genes for constructing a basic ANN unit. Each of these blocks is preceded by a gene promoter acting as an on/off switch that determines if that particular unit will be expressed or not. == PBGA basics == The basic unit in the PBGA is a neuron with all of its inbound connections as represented in the following figure: The genotype of a basic unit is a set of real valued weights followed by the parameters of the neuron and proceeded by an integer valued field that determines the promoter gene value and, consequently, the expression of the unit. By concatenating units of this type we can construct the whole network. With this encoding it is imposed that the information that is not expressed is still carried by the genotype in evolution but it is shielded from direct selective pressure, maintaining this way the diversity in the population, which has been a design premise for this algorithm. Therefore, a clear difference is established between the search space and the solution space, permitting information learned and encoded into the genotypic representation to be preserved by disabling promoter genes. == Results == The PBGA was originally presented within the field of autonomous robotics, in particular in the real time learning of environment models of the robot. It has been used inside the Multilevel Darwinist Brain (MDB) cognitive mechanism developed in the GII for real robots on-line learning. In another paper it is shown how the application of the PBGA together with an external memory that stores the successful obtained world models, is an optimal strategy for adaptation in dynamic environments. Recently, the PBGA has provided results that outperform other neuroevolutionary algorithms in non-stationary problems, where the fitness function varies in time.

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  PVLV

  The primary value learned value (PVLV) model is a possible explanation for the reward-predictive firing properties of dopamine (DA) neurons. It simulates behavioral and neural data on Pavlovian conditioning and the midbrain dopaminergic neurons that fire in proportion to unexpected rewards. It is an alternative to the temporal-differences (TD) algorithm. It is used as part of Leabra.

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  Dynamic Bayesian network

  A dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) is a Bayesian network (BN) which relates variables to each other over adjacent time steps. == History == A dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) is often called a "two-timeslice" BN (2TBN) because it says that at any point in time T, the value of a variable can be calculated from the internal regressors and the immediate prior value (time T-1). DBNs were developed by Paul Dagum in the early 1990s at Stanford University's Section on Medical Informatics. Dagum developed DBNs to unify and extend traditional linear state-space models such as Kalman filters, linear and normal forecasting models such as ARMA and simple dependency models such as hidden Markov models into a general probabilistic representation and inference mechanism for arbitrary nonlinear and non-normal time-dependent domains. Today, DBNs are common in robotics, and have shown potential for a wide range of data mining applications. For example, they have been used in speech recognition, digital forensics, protein sequencing, and bioinformatics. DBN is a generalization of hidden Markov models and Kalman filters. DBNs are conceptually related to probabilistic Boolean networks and can, similarly, be used to model dynamical systems at steady-state.

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  Emergent algorithm

  An emergent algorithm is an algorithm that exhibits emergent behavior. In essence an emergent algorithm implements a set of simple building block behaviors that when combined exhibit more complex behaviors. One example of this is the implementation of fuzzy motion controllers used to adapt robot movement in response to environmental obstacles. An emergent algorithm has the following characteristics: it achieves predictable global effects it does not require global visibility it does not assume any kind of centralized control it is self-stabilizing Other examples of emergent algorithms and models include cellular automata, artificial neural networks and swarm intelligence systems (ant colony optimization, bees algorithm, etc.).

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  Neural Networks (journal)

  Neural Networks is a monthly peer-reviewed scientific journal and an official journal of the International Neural Network Society, European Neural Network Society, and Japanese Neural Network Society. == History == The journal was established in 1988 and is published by Elsevier. It covers all aspects of research on artificial neural networks. The founding editor-in-chief was Stephen Grossberg (Boston University). The current editors-in-chief are DeLiang Wang (Ohio State University) and Taro Toyoizumi (RIKEN Center for Brain Science). == Abstracting and indexing == The journal is abstracted and indexed in Scopus and the Science Citation Index Expanded. According to the Journal Citation Reports, the journal has a 2022 impact factor of 7.8.

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  Growth function

  The growth function, also called the shatter coefficient or the shattering number, measures the richness of a set family or class of functions. It is especially used in the context of statistical learning theory, where it is used to study properties of statistical learning methods. The term 'growth function' was coined by Vapnik and Chervonenkis in their 1968 paper, where they also proved many of its properties. It is a basic concept in machine learning. == Definitions == === Set-family definition === Let H {\displaystyle H} be a set family (a set of sets) and C {\displaystyle C} a set. Their intersection is defined as the following set-family: H ∩ C := { h ∩ C ∣ h ∈ H } {\displaystyle H\cap C:=\{h\cap C\mid h\in H\}} The intersection-size (also called the index) of H {\displaystyle H} with respect to C {\displaystyle C} is | H ∩ C | {\displaystyle |H\cap C|} . If a set C m {\displaystyle C_{m}} has m {\displaystyle m} elements then the index is at most 2 m {\displaystyle 2^{m}} . If the index is exactly 2m then the set C {\displaystyle C} is said to be shattered by H {\displaystyle H} , because H ∩ C {\displaystyle H\cap C} contains all the subsets of C {\displaystyle C} , i.e.: | H ∩ C | = 2 | C | , {\displaystyle |H\cap C|=2^{|C|},} The growth function measures the size of H ∩ C {\displaystyle H\cap C} as a function of | C | {\displaystyle |C|} . Formally: Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) := max C : | C | = m | H ∩ C | {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m):=\max _{C:|C|=m}|H\cap C|} === Hypothesis-class definition === Equivalently, let H {\displaystyle H} be a hypothesis-class (a set of binary functions) and C {\displaystyle C} a set with m {\displaystyle m} elements. The restriction of H {\displaystyle H} to C {\displaystyle C} is the set of binary functions on C {\displaystyle C} that can be derived from H {\displaystyle H} : H C := { ( h ( x 1 ) , … , h ( x m ) ) ∣ h ∈ H , x i ∈ C } {\displaystyle H_{C}:=\{(h(x_{1}),\ldots ,h(x_{m}))\mid h\in H,x_{i}\in C\}} The growth function measures the size of H C {\displaystyle H_{C}} as a function of | C | {\displaystyle |C|} : Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) := max C : | C | = m | H C | {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m):=\max _{C:|C|=m}|H_{C}|} == Examples == 1. The domain is the real line R {\displaystyle \mathbb {R} } . The set-family H {\displaystyle H} contains all the half-lines (rays) from a given number to positive infinity, i.e., all sets of the form { x > x 0 ∣ x ∈ R } {\displaystyle \{x>x_{0}\mid x\in \mathbb {R} \}} for some x 0 ∈ R {\displaystyle x_{0}\in \mathbb {R} } . For any set C {\displaystyle C} of m {\displaystyle m} real numbers, the intersection H ∩ C {\displaystyle H\cap C} contains m + 1 {\displaystyle m+1} sets: the empty set, the set containing the largest element of C {\displaystyle C} , the set containing the two largest elements of C {\displaystyle C} , and so on. Therefore: Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) = m + 1 {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)=m+1} . The same is true whether H {\displaystyle H} contains open half-lines, closed half-lines, or both. 2. The domain is the segment [ 0 , 1 ] {\displaystyle [0,1]} . The set-family H {\displaystyle H} contains all the open sets. For any finite set C {\displaystyle C} of m {\displaystyle m} real numbers, the intersection H ∩ C {\displaystyle H\cap C} contains all possible subsets of C {\displaystyle C} . There are 2 m {\displaystyle 2^{m}} such subsets, so Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) = 2 m {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)=2^{m}} . 3. The domain is the Euclidean space R n {\displaystyle \mathbb {R} ^{n}} . The set-family H {\displaystyle H} contains all the half-spaces of the form: x ⋅ ϕ ≥ 1 {\displaystyle x\cdot \phi \geq 1} , where ϕ {\displaystyle \phi } is a fixed vector. Then Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) = Comp ⁡ ( n , m ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)=\operatorname {Comp} (n,m)} , where Comp is the number of components in a partitioning of an n-dimensional space by m hyperplanes. 4. The domain is the real line R {\displaystyle \mathbb {R} } . The set-family H {\displaystyle H} contains all the real intervals, i.e., all sets of the form { x ∈ [ x 0 , x 1 ] | x ∈ R } {\displaystyle \{x\in [x_{0},x_{1}]|x\in \mathbb {R} \}} for some x 0 , x 1 ∈ R {\displaystyle x_{0},x_{1}\in \mathbb {R} } . For any set C {\displaystyle C} of m {\displaystyle m} real numbers, the intersection H ∩ C {\displaystyle H\cap C} contains all runs of between 0 and m {\displaystyle m} consecutive elements of C {\displaystyle C} . The number of such runs is ( m + 1 2 ) + 1 {\displaystyle {m+1 \choose 2}+1} , so Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) = ( m + 1 2 ) + 1 {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)={m+1 \choose 2}+1} . == Polynomial or exponential == The main property that makes the growth function interesting is that it can be either polynomial or exponential - nothing in-between. The following is a property of the intersection-size: If, for some set C m {\displaystyle C_{m}} of size m {\displaystyle m} , and for some number n ≤ m {\displaystyle n\leq m} , | H ∩ C m | ≥ Comp ⁡ ( n , m ) {\displaystyle |H\cap C_{m}|\geq \operatorname {Comp} (n,m)} - then, there exists a subset C n ⊆ C m {\displaystyle C_{n}\subseteq C_{m}} of size n {\displaystyle n} such that | H ∩ C n | = 2 n {\displaystyle |H\cap C_{n}|=2^{n}} . This implies the following property of the Growth function. For every family H {\displaystyle H} there are two cases: The exponential case: Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) = 2 m {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)=2^{m}} identically. The polynomial case: Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)} is majorized by Comp ⁡ ( n , m ) ≤ m n + 1 {\displaystyle \operatorname {Comp} (n,m)\leq m^{n}+1} , where n {\displaystyle n} is the smallest integer for which Growth ⁡ ( H , n ) < 2 n {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,n)<2^{n}} . == Other properties == === Trivial upper bound === For any finite H {\displaystyle H} : Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) ≤ | H | {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)\leq |H|} since for every C {\displaystyle C} , the number of elements in H ∩ C {\displaystyle H\cap C} is at most | H | {\displaystyle |H|} . Therefore, the growth function is mainly interesting when H {\displaystyle H} is infinite. === Exponential upper bound === For any nonempty H {\displaystyle H} : Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) ≤ 2 m {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)\leq 2^{m}} I.e, the growth function has an exponential upper-bound. We say that a set-family H {\displaystyle H} shatters a set C {\displaystyle C} if their intersection contains all possible subsets of C {\displaystyle C} , i.e. H ∩ C = 2 C {\displaystyle H\cap C=2^{C}} . If H {\displaystyle H} shatters C {\displaystyle C} of size m {\displaystyle m} , then Growth ⁡ ( H , C ) = 2 m {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,C)=2^{m}} , which is the upper bound. === Cartesian intersection === Define the Cartesian intersection of two set-families as: H 1 ⨂ H 2 := { h 1 ∩ h 2 ∣ h 1 ∈ H 1 , h 2 ∈ H 2 } {\displaystyle H_{1}\bigotimes H_{2}:=\{h_{1}\cap h_{2}\mid h_{1}\in H_{1},h_{2}\in H_{2}\}} . Then: Growth ⁡ ( H 1 ⨂ H 2 , m ) ≤ Growth ⁡ ( H 1 , m ) ⋅ Growth ⁡ ( H 2 , m ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H_{1}\bigotimes H_{2},m)\leq \operatorname {Growth} (H_{1},m)\cdot \operatorname {Growth} (H_{2},m)} === Union === For every two set-families: Growth ⁡ ( H 1 ∪ H 2 , m ) ≤ Growth ⁡ ( H 1 , m ) + Growth ⁡ ( H 2 , m ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H_{1}\cup H_{2},m)\leq \operatorname {Growth} (H_{1},m)+\operatorname {Growth} (H_{2},m)} === VC dimension === The VC dimension of H {\displaystyle H} is defined according to these two cases: In the polynomial case, VCDim ⁡ ( H ) = n − 1 {\displaystyle \operatorname {VCDim} (H)=n-1} = the largest integer d {\displaystyle d} for which Growth ⁡ ( H , d ) = 2 d {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,d)=2^{d}} . In the exponential case VCDim ⁡ ( H ) = ∞ {\displaystyle \operatorname {VCDim} (H)=\infty } . So VCDim ⁡ ( H ) ≥ d {\displaystyle \operatorname {VCDim} (H)\geq d} if-and-only-if Growth ⁡ ( H , d ) = 2 d {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,d)=2^{d}} . The growth function can be regarded as a refinement of the concept of VC dimension. The VC dimension only tells us whether Growth ⁡ ( H , d ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,d)} is equal to or smaller than 2 d {\displaystyle 2^{d}} , while the growth function tells us exactly how Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)} changes as a function of m {\displaystyle m} . Another connection between the growth function and the VC dimension is given by the Sauer–Shelah lemma: If VCDim ⁡ ( H ) = d {\displaystyle \operatorname {VCDim} (H)=d} , then: for all m {\displaystyle m} : Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) ≤ ∑ i = 0 d ( m i ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)\leq \sum _{i=0}^{d}{m \choose i}} In particular, for all m > d + 1 {\displaystyle m>d+1} : Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) ≤ ( e m / d ) d = O ( m d ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)\leq (

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  Mean squared prediction error

  In statistics the mean squared prediction error (MSPE), also known as mean squared error of the predictions, of a smoothing, curve fitting, or regression procedure is the expected value of the squared prediction errors (PE), the square difference between the fitted values implied by the predictive function g ^ {\displaystyle {\widehat {g}}} and the values of the (unobservable) true value g. It is an inverse measure of the explanatory power of g ^ , {\displaystyle {\widehat {g}},} and can be used in the process of cross-validation of an estimated model. Knowledge of g would be required in order to calculate the MSPE exactly; in practice, MSPE is estimated. == Formulation == If the smoothing or fitting procedure has projection matrix (i.e., hat matrix) L, which maps the observed values vector y {\displaystyle y} to predicted values vector y ^ = L y , {\displaystyle {\hat {y}}=Ly,} then PE and MSPE are formulated as: P E i = g ( x i ) − g ^ ( x i ) , {\displaystyle \operatorname {PE_{i}} =g(x_{i})-{\widehat {g}}(x_{i}),} MSPE = E ⁡ [ PE i 2 ] = ∑ i = 1 n PE i 2 ⁡ / n . {\displaystyle \operatorname {MSPE} =\operatorname {E} \left[\operatorname {PE} _{i}^{2}\right]=\sum _{i=1}^{n}\operatorname {PE} _{i}^{2}/n.} The MSPE can be decomposed into two terms: the squared bias (mean error) of the fitted values and the variance of the fitted values: MSPE = ME 2 + VAR , {\displaystyle \operatorname {MSPE} =\operatorname {ME} ^{2}+\operatorname {VAR} ,} ME = E ⁡ [ g ^ ( x i ) − g ( x i ) ] {\displaystyle \operatorname {ME} =\operatorname {E} \left[{\widehat {g}}(x_{i})-g(x_{i})\right]} VAR = E ⁡ [ ( g ^ ( x i ) − E ⁡ [ g ( x i ) ] ) 2 ] . {\displaystyle \operatorname {VAR} =\operatorname {E} \left[\left({\widehat {g}}(x_{i})-\operatorname {E} \left[{g}(x_{i})\right]\right)^{2}\right].} The quantity SSPE=nMSPE is called sum squared prediction error. The root mean squared prediction error is the square root of MSPE: RMSPE=√MSPE. == Computation of MSPE over out-of-sample data == The mean squared prediction error can be computed exactly in two contexts. First, with a data sample of length n, the data analyst may run the regression over only q of the data points (with q < n), holding back the other n – q data points with the specific purpose of using them to compute the estimated model’s MSPE out of sample (i.e., not using data that were used in the model estimation process). Since the regression process is tailored to the q in-sample points, normally the in-sample MSPE will be smaller than the out-of-sample one computed over the n – q held-back points. If the increase in the MSPE out of sample compared to in sample is relatively slight, that results in the model being viewed favorably. And if two models are to be compared, the one with the lower MSPE over the n – q out-of-sample data points is viewed more favorably, regardless of the models’ relative in-sample performances. The out-of-sample MSPE in this context is exact for the out-of-sample data points that it was computed over, but is merely an estimate of the model’s MSPE for the mostly unobserved population from which the data were drawn. Second, as time goes on more data may become available to the data analyst, and then the MSPE can be computed over these new data. == Estimation of MSPE over the population == When the model has been estimated over all available data with none held back, the MSPE of the model over the entire population of mostly unobserved data can be estimated as follows. For the model y i = g ( x i ) + σ ε i {\displaystyle y_{i}=g(x_{i})+\sigma \varepsilon _{i}} where ε i ∼ N ( 0 , 1 ) {\displaystyle \varepsilon _{i}\sim {\mathcal {N}}(0,1)} , one may write n ⋅ MSPE ⁡ ( L ) = g T ( I − L ) T ( I − L ) g + σ 2 tr ⁡ [ L T L ] . {\displaystyle n\cdot \operatorname {MSPE} (L)=g^{\text{T}}(I-L)^{\text{T}}(I-L)g+\sigma ^{2}\operatorname {tr} \left[L^{\text{T}}L\right].} Using in-sample data values, the first term on the right side is equivalent to ∑ i = 1 n ( E ⁡ [ g ( x i ) − g ^ ( x i ) ] ) 2 = E ⁡ [ ∑ i = 1 n ( y i − g ^ ( x i ) ) 2 ] − σ 2 tr ⁡ [ ( I − L ) T ( I − L ) ] . {\displaystyle \sum _{i=1}^{n}\left(\operatorname {E} \left[g(x_{i})-{\widehat {g}}(x_{i})\right]\right)^{2}=\operatorname {E} \left[\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left(y_{i}-{\widehat {g}}(x_{i})\right)^{2}\right]-\sigma ^{2}\operatorname {tr} \left[\left(I-L\right)^{T}\left(I-L\right)\right].} Thus, n ⋅ MSPE ⁡ ( L ) = E ⁡ [ ∑ i = 1 n ( y i − g ^ ( x i ) ) 2 ] − σ 2 ( n − tr ⁡ [ L ] ) . {\displaystyle n\cdot \operatorname {MSPE} (L)=\operatorname {E} \left[\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left(y_{i}-{\widehat {g}}(x_{i})\right)^{2}\right]-\sigma ^{2}\left(n-\operatorname {tr} \left[L\right]\right).} If σ 2 {\displaystyle \sigma ^{2}} is known or well-estimated by σ ^ 2 {\displaystyle {\widehat {\sigma }}^{2}} , it becomes possible to estimate MSPE by n ⋅ M S P E ^ ⁡ ( L ) = ∑ i = 1 n ( y i − g ^ ( x i ) ) 2 − σ ^ 2 ( n − tr ⁡ [ L ] ) . {\displaystyle n\cdot \operatorname {\widehat {MSPE}} (L)=\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left(y_{i}-{\widehat {g}}(x_{i})\right)^{2}-{\widehat {\sigma }}^{2}\left(n-\operatorname {tr} \left[L\right]\right).} Colin Mallows advocated this method in the construction of his model selection statistic Cp, which is a normalized version of the estimated MSPE: C p = ∑ i = 1 n ( y i − g ^ ( x i ) ) 2 σ ^ 2 − n + 2 p . {\displaystyle C_{p}={\frac {\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left(y_{i}-{\widehat {g}}(x_{i})\right)^{2}}{{\widehat {\sigma }}^{2}}}-n+2p.} where p the number of estimated parameters p and σ ^ 2 {\displaystyle {\widehat {\sigma }}^{2}} is computed from the version of the model that includes all possible regressors. That concludes this proof.

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  Lucy–Hook coaddition method

  The Lucy–Hook coaddition method is an image processing technique for combining sub-stepped astronomical image data onto a finer grid. The method allows the option of resolution and contrast enhancement or the choice of a conservative, re-convolved, output. Tests with very deep Hubble Space Telescope Wide Field and Planetary Camera 2 (WFPC2) imaging data of excellent quality show that these methods can be very effective and allow fine-scale features to be studied better than on the unprocessed images. The Lucy–Hook coaddition method is an extension of the standard Richardson–Lucy deconvolution iterative restoration method. For many purposes it may be more convenient to combine dithered datasets using the Drizzle method.

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  Quickprop

  Quickprop is an iterative method for determining the minimum of the loss function of an artificial neural network, following an algorithm inspired by the Newton's method. Sometimes, the algorithm is classified to the group of the second order learning methods. It follows a quadratic approximation of the previous gradient step and the current gradient, which is expected to be close to the minimum of the loss function, under the assumption that the loss function is locally approximately square, trying to describe it by means of an upwardly open parabola. The minimum is sought in the vertex of the parabola. The procedure requires only local information of the artificial neuron to which it is applied. The k {\displaystyle k} -th approximation step is given by: Δ ( k ) w i j = Δ ( k − 1 ) w i j ( ∇ i j E ( k ) ∇ i j E ( k − 1 ) − ∇ i j E ( k ) ) {\displaystyle \Delta ^{(k)}\,w_{ij}=\Delta ^{(k-1)}\,w_{ij}\left({\frac {\nabla _{ij}\,E^{(k)}}{\nabla _{ij}\,E^{(k-1)}-\nabla _{ij}\,E^{(k)}}}\right)} Where w i j {\displaystyle w_{ij}} is the weight of input i {\displaystyle i} of neuron j {\displaystyle j} , and E {\displaystyle E} is the loss function. The Quickprop algorithm is an implementation of the error backpropagation algorithm, but the network can behave chaotically during the learning phase due to large step sizes.

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  Diffusion model

  In machine learning, diffusion models, also known as diffusion-based generative models or score-based generative models, are a class of latent variable generative models. A diffusion model consists of two major components: the forward diffusion process, and the reverse sampling process. The goal of diffusion models is to learn a diffusion process for a given dataset, such that the process can generate new elements that are distributed similarly as the original dataset. A diffusion model models data as generated by a diffusion process, whereby a new datum performs a random walk with drift through the space of all possible data. A trained diffusion model can be sampled in many ways, with different efficiency and quality. There are various equivalent formalisms, including Markov chains, denoising diffusion probabilistic models, noise conditioned score networks, and stochastic differential equations. They are typically trained using variational inference. The model responsible for denoising is typically called its "backbone". The backbone may be of any kind, but they are typically U-nets or transformers. As of 2024, diffusion models are mainly used for computer vision tasks, including image denoising, inpainting, super-resolution, image generation, and video generation. These typically involve training a neural network to sequentially denoise images blurred with Gaussian noise. The model is trained to reverse the process of adding noise to an image. After training to convergence, it can be used for image generation by starting with an image composed of random noise, and applying the network iteratively to denoise the image. Diffusion-based image generators have seen widespread commercial interest, such as Stable Diffusion and DALL-E. These models typically combine diffusion models with other models, such as text-encoders and cross-attention modules to allow text-conditioned generation. Other than computer vision, diffusion models have also found applications in natural language processing such as text generation and summarization, sound generation, and reinforcement learning. == Denoising diffusion model == === Non-equilibrium thermodynamics === Diffusion models were introduced in 2015 as a method to train a model that can sample from a highly complex probability distribution. They used techniques from non-equilibrium thermodynamics, especially diffusion. Consider, for example, how one might model the distribution of all naturally occurring photos. Each image is a point in the space of all images, and the distribution of naturally occurring photos is a "cloud" in space, which, by repeatedly adding noise to the images, diffuses out to the rest of the image space, until the cloud becomes all but indistinguishable from a Gaussian distribution N ( 0 , I ) {\displaystyle {\mathcal {N}}(0,I)} . A model that can approximately undo the diffusion can then be used to sample from the original distribution. This is studied in "non-equilibrium" thermodynamics, as the starting distribution is not in equilibrium, unlike the final distribution. The equilibrium distribution is the Gaussian distribution N ( 0 , I ) {\displaystyle {\mathcal {N}}(0,I)} , with pdf ρ ( x ) ∝ e − 1 2 ‖ x ‖ 2 {\displaystyle \rho (x)\propto e^{-{\frac {1}{2}}\|x\|^{2}}} . This is just the Maxwell–Boltzmann distribution of particles in a potential well V ( x ) = 1 2 ‖ x ‖ 2 {\displaystyle V(x)={\frac {1}{2}}\|x\|^{2}} at temperature 1. The initial distribution, being very much out of equilibrium, would diffuse towards the equilibrium distribution, making biased random steps that are a sum of pure randomness (like a Brownian walker) and gradient descent down the potential well. The randomness is necessary: if the particles were to undergo only gradient descent, then they will all fall to the origin, collapsing the distribution. === Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Model (DDPM) === The 2020 paper proposed the Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Model (DDPM), which improves upon the previous method by variational inference. ==== Forward diffusion ==== To present the model, some notation is required. β 1 , . . . , β T ∈ ( 0 , 1 ) {\displaystyle \beta _{1},...,\beta _{T}\in (0,1)} are fixed constants. α t := 1 − β t {\displaystyle \alpha _{t}:=1-\beta _{t}} α ¯ t := α 1 ⋯ α t {\displaystyle {\bar {\alpha }}_{t}:=\alpha _{1}\cdots \alpha _{t}} σ t := 1 − α ¯ t {\displaystyle \sigma _{t}:={\sqrt {1-{\bar {\alpha }}_{t}}}} σ ~ t := σ t − 1 σ t β t {\displaystyle {\tilde {\sigma }}_{t}:={\frac {\sigma _{t-1}}{\sigma _{t}}}{\sqrt {\beta _{t}}}} μ ~ t ( x t , x 0 ) := α t ( 1 − α ¯ t − 1 ) x t + α ¯ t − 1 ( 1 − α t ) x 0 σ t 2 {\displaystyle {\tilde {\mu }}_{t}(x_{t},x_{0}):={\frac {{\sqrt {\alpha _{t}}}(1-{\bar {\alpha }}_{t-1})x_{t}+{\sqrt {{\bar {\alpha }}_{t-1}}}(1-\alpha _{t})x_{0}}{\sigma _{t}^{2}}}} N ( μ , Σ ) {\displaystyle {\mathcal {N}}(\mu ,\Sigma )} is the normal distribution with mean μ {\displaystyle \mu } and variance Σ {\displaystyle \Sigma } , and N ( x | μ , Σ ) {\displaystyle {\mathcal {N}}(x|\mu ,\Sigma )} is the probability density at x {\displaystyle x} . A vertical bar denotes conditioning. A forward diffusion process starts at some starting point x 0 ∼ q {\displaystyle x_{0}\sim q} , where q {\displaystyle q} is the probability distribution to be learned, then repeatedly adds noise to it by x t = 1 − β t x t − 1 + β t z t {\displaystyle x_{t}={\sqrt {1-\beta _{t}}}x_{t-1}+{\sqrt {\beta _{t}}}z_{t}} where z 1 , . . . , z T {\displaystyle z_{1},...,z_{T}} are IID (Independent and identically distributed random variables) samples from N ( 0 , I ) {\displaystyle {\mathcal {N}}(0,I)} . The coefficients 1 − β t {\displaystyle {\sqrt {1-\beta _{t}}}} and β t {\displaystyle {\sqrt {\beta _{t}}}} ensure that Var ( X t ) = I {\displaystyle {\mbox{Var}}(X_{t})=I} assuming that Var ( X 0 ) = I {\displaystyle {\mbox{Var}}(X_{0})=I} . The values of β t {\displaystyle \beta _{t}} are chosen such that for any starting distribution of x 0 {\displaystyle x_{0}} , if it has finite second moment, then lim t → ∞ x t | x 0 {\displaystyle \lim _{t\to \infty }x_{t}|x_{0}} converges to N ( 0 , I ) {\displaystyle {\mathcal {N}}(0,I)} . The entire diffusion process then satisfies q ( x 0 : T ) = q ( x 0 ) q ( x 1 | x 0 ) ⋯ q ( x T | x T − 1 ) = q ( x 0 ) N ( x 1 | α 1 x 0 , β 1 I ) ⋯ N ( x T | α T x T − 1 , β T I ) {\displaystyle q(x_{0:T})=q(x_{0})q(x_{1}|x_{0})\cdots q(x_{T}|x_{T-1})=q(x_{0}){\mathcal {N}}(x_{1}|{\sqrt {\alpha _{1}}}x_{0},\beta _{1}I)\cdots {\mathcal {N}}(x_{T}|{\sqrt {\alpha _{T}}}x_{T-1},\beta _{T}I)} or ln ⁡ q ( x 0 : T ) = ln ⁡ q ( x 0 ) − ∑ t = 1 T 1 2 β t ‖ x t − 1 − β t x t − 1 ‖ 2 + C {\displaystyle \ln q(x_{0:T})=\ln q(x_{0})-\sum _{t=1}^{T}{\frac {1}{2\beta _{t}}}\|x_{t}-{\sqrt {1-\beta _{t}}}x_{t-1}\|^{2}+C} where C {\displaystyle C} is a normalization constant and often omitted. In particular, we note that x 1 : T | x 0 {\displaystyle x_{1:T}|x_{0}} is a Gaussian process, which affords us considerable freedom in reparameterization. For example, by standard manipulation with Gaussian process, x t | x 0 ∼ N ( α ¯ t x 0 , σ t 2 I ) {\displaystyle x_{t}|x_{0}\sim N\left({\sqrt {{\bar {\alpha }}_{t}}}x_{0},\sigma _{t}^{2}I\right)} x t − 1 | x t , x 0 ∼ N ( μ ~ t ( x t , x 0 ) , σ ~ t 2 I ) {\displaystyle x_{t-1}|x_{t},x_{0}\sim {\mathcal {N}}({\tilde {\mu }}_{t}(x_{t},x_{0}),{\tilde {\sigma }}_{t}^{2}I)} In particular, notice that for large t {\displaystyle t} , the variable x t | x 0 ∼ N ( α ¯ t x 0 , σ t 2 I ) {\displaystyle x_{t}|x_{0}\sim N\left({\sqrt {{\bar {\alpha }}_{t}}}x_{0},\sigma _{t}^{2}I\right)} converges to N ( 0 , I ) {\displaystyle {\mathcal {N}}(0,I)} . That is, after a long enough diffusion process, we end up with some x T {\displaystyle x_{T}} that is very close to N ( 0 , I ) {\displaystyle {\mathcal {N}}(0,I)} , with all traces of the original x 0 ∼ q {\displaystyle x_{0}\sim q} gone. For example, since x t | x 0 ∼ N ( α ¯ t x 0 , σ t 2 I ) {\displaystyle x_{t}|x_{0}\sim N\left({\sqrt {{\bar {\alpha }}_{t}}}x_{0},\sigma _{t}^{2}I\right)} we can sample x t | x 0 {\displaystyle x_{t}|x_{0}} directly "in one step", instead of going through all the intermediate steps x 1 , x 2 , . . . , x t − 1 {\displaystyle x_{1},x_{2},...,x_{t-1}} . ==== Backward diffusion ==== The key idea of DDPM is to use a neural network parametrized by θ {\displaystyle \theta } . The network takes in two arguments x t , t {\displaystyle x_{t},t} , and outputs a vector μ θ ( x t , t ) {\displaystyle \mu _{\theta }(x_{t},t)} and a matrix Σ θ ( x t , t ) {\displaystyle \Sigma _{\theta }(x_{t},t)} , such that each step in the forward diffusion process can be approximately undone by x t − 1 ∼ N ( μ θ ( x t , t ) , Σ θ ( x t , t ) ) {\displaystyle x_{t-1}\sim {\mathcal {N}}(\mu _{\theta }(x_{t},t),\Sigma _{\theta }(x_{t},t))} . This then gives us a backward diffusion process p θ {\displaystyle p_{\theta }} defined by p θ ( x T ) = N ( x T | 0 , I ) {\displaystyle p_{\theta }(x

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  Winner-take-all (computing)

  Winner-take-all is a computational principle applied in computational models of neural networks by which neurons compete with each other for activation. In the classical form, only the neuron with the highest activation stays active while all other neurons shut down; however, other variations allow more than one neuron to be active, for example the soft winner take-all, by which a power function is applied to the neurons. == Neural networks == In the theory of artificial neural networks, winner-take-all networks are a case of competitive learning in recurrent neural networks. Output nodes in the network mutually inhibit each other, while simultaneously activating themselves through reflexive connections. After some time, only one node in the output layer will be active, namely the one corresponding to the strongest input. Thus the network uses nonlinear inhibition to pick out the largest of a set of inputs. Winner-take-all is a general computational primitive that can be implemented using different types of neural network models, including both continuous-time and spiking networks. Winner-take-all networks are commonly used in computational models of the brain, particularly for distributed decision-making or action selection in the cortex. Important examples include hierarchical models of vision, and models of selective attention and recognition. They are also common in artificial neural networks and neuromorphic analog VLSI circuits. It has been formally proven that the winner-take-all operation is computationally powerful compared to other nonlinear operations, such as thresholding. In many practical cases, there is not only one single neuron which becomes active but there are exactly k neurons which become active for a fixed number k. This principle is referred to as k-winners-take-all. === Example algorithm === Consider a single linear neuron, with inputs x 1 , … , x n {\displaystyle x_{1},\dots ,x_{n}} . Each input has weight w i {\displaystyle w_{i}} , and the output of the neuron is ∑ i w i x i {\displaystyle \sum _{i}w_{i}x_{i}} . In the Instar learning rule, on each input vector, the weight vectors are modified according to Δ w i = η ( x i − w i ) {\displaystyle \Delta w_{i}=\eta (x_{i}-w_{i})} where η {\displaystyle \eta } is the learning rate. This rule is unsupervised, since we need just the input vector, not a reference output. Now, consider multiple linear neurons y 1 , … , y m {\displaystyle y_{1},\dots ,y_{m}} . The output of each satisfies y i = ∑ j w i j x j {\displaystyle y_{i}=\sum _{j}w_{ij}x_{j}} . In the winner-take-all algorithm, the weights are modified as follows. Given an input vector x {\displaystyle x} , each output is computed. The neuron with the largest output is selected, and the weights going into that neuron are modified according to the Instar learning rule. All other weights remain unchanged. The k-winners-take-all rule is similar, except that the Instar learning rule is applied to the weights going into the k neurons with the largest outputs. == Circuit example == A simple, but popular CMOS winner-take-all circuit is shown on the right. This circuit was originally proposed by Lazzaro et al. (1989) using MOS transistors biased to operate in the weak-inversion or subthreshold regime. In the particular case shown there are only two inputs (IIN,1 and IIN,2), but the circuit can be easily extended to multiple inputs in a straightforward way. It operates on continuous-time input signals (currents) in parallel, using only two transistors per input. In addition, the bias current IBIAS is set by a single global transistor that is common to all the inputs. The largest of the input currents sets the common potential VC. As a result, the corresponding output carries almost all the bias current, while the other outputs have currents that are close to zero. Thus, the circuit selects the larger of the two input currents, i.e., if IIN,1 > IIN,2, we get IOUT,1 = IBIAS and IOUT,2 = 0. Similarly, if IIN,2 > IIN,1, we get IOUT,1 = 0 and IOUT,2 = IBIAS. A SPICE-based DC simulation of the CMOS winner-take-all circuit in the two-input case is shown on the right. As shown in the top subplot, the input IIN,1 was fixed at 6nA, while IIN,2 was linearly increased from 0 to 10nA. The bottom subplot shows the two output currents. As expected, the output corresponding to the larger of the two inputs carries the entire bias current (10nA in this case), forcing the other output current nearly to zero. == Other uses == In stereo matching algorithms, following the taxonomy proposed by Scharstein and Szelliski, winner-take-all is a local method for disparity computation. Adopting a winner-take-all strategy, the disparity associated with the minimum or maximum cost value is selected at each pixel. It is axiomatic that in the electronic commerce market, early dominant players such as AOL or Yahoo! get most of the rewards. By 1998, one study found the top 5% of all web sites garnered more than 74% of all traffic. The winner-take-all hypothesis in economics suggests that once a technology or a firm gets ahead, it will do better and better over time, whereas lagging technology and firms will fall further behind. See First-mover advantage.

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  Seed (programming)

  Seed is a JavaScript interpreter and a library of the GNOME project to create standalone applications in JavaScript. It uses the JavaScript engine JavaScriptCore of the WebKit project. It is possible to easily create modules in C. Seed is integrated in GNOME since the 2.28 version and is used by two games in the GNOME Games package. It is also used by the Web web browser for the design of its extensions. The module is also officially supported by the GTK+ project. == Hello world in Seed == This example uses the standard output to output the string "Hello, World". == A program using GTK+ == This code shows an empty window named "Example". == Modules == To use a module, just instantiate a class having for name imports. followed by the name of the module respecting the case sensitivity. The modules using GObject Introspection, who starts by imports.gi. : Gtk Gst GObject Gio Clutter GLib Gdk WebKit GdkPixbuf, GdkPixbuf Libxml Cairo DBus MPFR Os (system library) Canvas (using Cairo) multiprocessing readline Archived 2009-11-09 at the Wayback Machine ffi sqlite sandbox Archived 2009-11-09 at the Wayback Machine == List of the Seed versions == The names of the versions of Seed are albums of famous rock bands.

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  Growth function

  The growth function, also called the shatter coefficient or the shattering number, measures the richness of a set family or class of functions. It is especially used in the context of statistical learning theory, where it is used to study properties of statistical learning methods. The term 'growth function' was coined by Vapnik and Chervonenkis in their 1968 paper, where they also proved many of its properties. It is a basic concept in machine learning. == Definitions == === Set-family definition === Let H {\displaystyle H} be a set family (a set of sets) and C {\displaystyle C} a set. Their intersection is defined as the following set-family: H ∩ C := { h ∩ C ∣ h ∈ H } {\displaystyle H\cap C:=\{h\cap C\mid h\in H\}} The intersection-size (also called the index) of H {\displaystyle H} with respect to C {\displaystyle C} is | H ∩ C | {\displaystyle |H\cap C|} . If a set C m {\displaystyle C_{m}} has m {\displaystyle m} elements then the index is at most 2 m {\displaystyle 2^{m}} . If the index is exactly 2m then the set C {\displaystyle C} is said to be shattered by H {\displaystyle H} , because H ∩ C {\displaystyle H\cap C} contains all the subsets of C {\displaystyle C} , i.e.: | H ∩ C | = 2 | C | , {\displaystyle |H\cap C|=2^{|C|},} The growth function measures the size of H ∩ C {\displaystyle H\cap C} as a function of | C | {\displaystyle |C|} . Formally: Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) := max C : | C | = m | H ∩ C | {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m):=\max _{C:|C|=m}|H\cap C|} === Hypothesis-class definition === Equivalently, let H {\displaystyle H} be a hypothesis-class (a set of binary functions) and C {\displaystyle C} a set with m {\displaystyle m} elements. The restriction of H {\displaystyle H} to C {\displaystyle C} is the set of binary functions on C {\displaystyle C} that can be derived from H {\displaystyle H} : H C := { ( h ( x 1 ) , … , h ( x m ) ) ∣ h ∈ H , x i ∈ C } {\displaystyle H_{C}:=\{(h(x_{1}),\ldots ,h(x_{m}))\mid h\in H,x_{i}\in C\}} The growth function measures the size of H C {\displaystyle H_{C}} as a function of | C | {\displaystyle |C|} : Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) := max C : | C | = m | H C | {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m):=\max _{C:|C|=m}|H_{C}|} == Examples == 1. The domain is the real line R {\displaystyle \mathbb {R} } . The set-family H {\displaystyle H} contains all the half-lines (rays) from a given number to positive infinity, i.e., all sets of the form { x > x 0 ∣ x ∈ R } {\displaystyle \{x>x_{0}\mid x\in \mathbb {R} \}} for some x 0 ∈ R {\displaystyle x_{0}\in \mathbb {R} } . For any set C {\displaystyle C} of m {\displaystyle m} real numbers, the intersection H ∩ C {\displaystyle H\cap C} contains m + 1 {\displaystyle m+1} sets: the empty set, the set containing the largest element of C {\displaystyle C} , the set containing the two largest elements of C {\displaystyle C} , and so on. Therefore: Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) = m + 1 {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)=m+1} . The same is true whether H {\displaystyle H} contains open half-lines, closed half-lines, or both. 2. The domain is the segment [ 0 , 1 ] {\displaystyle [0,1]} . The set-family H {\displaystyle H} contains all the open sets. For any finite set C {\displaystyle C} of m {\displaystyle m} real numbers, the intersection H ∩ C {\displaystyle H\cap C} contains all possible subsets of C {\displaystyle C} . There are 2 m {\displaystyle 2^{m}} such subsets, so Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) = 2 m {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)=2^{m}} . 3. The domain is the Euclidean space R n {\displaystyle \mathbb {R} ^{n}} . The set-family H {\displaystyle H} contains all the half-spaces of the form: x ⋅ ϕ ≥ 1 {\displaystyle x\cdot \phi \geq 1} , where ϕ {\displaystyle \phi } is a fixed vector. Then Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) = Comp ⁡ ( n , m ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)=\operatorname {Comp} (n,m)} , where Comp is the number of components in a partitioning of an n-dimensional space by m hyperplanes. 4. The domain is the real line R {\displaystyle \mathbb {R} } . The set-family H {\displaystyle H} contains all the real intervals, i.e., all sets of the form { x ∈ [ x 0 , x 1 ] | x ∈ R } {\displaystyle \{x\in [x_{0},x_{1}]|x\in \mathbb {R} \}} for some x 0 , x 1 ∈ R {\displaystyle x_{0},x_{1}\in \mathbb {R} } . For any set C {\displaystyle C} of m {\displaystyle m} real numbers, the intersection H ∩ C {\displaystyle H\cap C} contains all runs of between 0 and m {\displaystyle m} consecutive elements of C {\displaystyle C} . The number of such runs is ( m + 1 2 ) + 1 {\displaystyle {m+1 \choose 2}+1} , so Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) = ( m + 1 2 ) + 1 {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)={m+1 \choose 2}+1} . == Polynomial or exponential == The main property that makes the growth function interesting is that it can be either polynomial or exponential - nothing in-between. The following is a property of the intersection-size: If, for some set C m {\displaystyle C_{m}} of size m {\displaystyle m} , and for some number n ≤ m {\displaystyle n\leq m} , | H ∩ C m | ≥ Comp ⁡ ( n , m ) {\displaystyle |H\cap C_{m}|\geq \operatorname {Comp} (n,m)} - then, there exists a subset C n ⊆ C m {\displaystyle C_{n}\subseteq C_{m}} of size n {\displaystyle n} such that | H ∩ C n | = 2 n {\displaystyle |H\cap C_{n}|=2^{n}} . This implies the following property of the Growth function. For every family H {\displaystyle H} there are two cases: The exponential case: Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) = 2 m {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)=2^{m}} identically. The polynomial case: Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)} is majorized by Comp ⁡ ( n , m ) ≤ m n + 1 {\displaystyle \operatorname {Comp} (n,m)\leq m^{n}+1} , where n {\displaystyle n} is the smallest integer for which Growth ⁡ ( H , n ) < 2 n {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,n)<2^{n}} . == Other properties == === Trivial upper bound === For any finite H {\displaystyle H} : Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) ≤ | H | {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)\leq |H|} since for every C {\displaystyle C} , the number of elements in H ∩ C {\displaystyle H\cap C} is at most | H | {\displaystyle |H|} . Therefore, the growth function is mainly interesting when H {\displaystyle H} is infinite. === Exponential upper bound === For any nonempty H {\displaystyle H} : Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) ≤ 2 m {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)\leq 2^{m}} I.e, the growth function has an exponential upper-bound. We say that a set-family H {\displaystyle H} shatters a set C {\displaystyle C} if their intersection contains all possible subsets of C {\displaystyle C} , i.e. H ∩ C = 2 C {\displaystyle H\cap C=2^{C}} . If H {\displaystyle H} shatters C {\displaystyle C} of size m {\displaystyle m} , then Growth ⁡ ( H , C ) = 2 m {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,C)=2^{m}} , which is the upper bound. === Cartesian intersection === Define the Cartesian intersection of two set-families as: H 1 ⨂ H 2 := { h 1 ∩ h 2 ∣ h 1 ∈ H 1 , h 2 ∈ H 2 } {\displaystyle H_{1}\bigotimes H_{2}:=\{h_{1}\cap h_{2}\mid h_{1}\in H_{1},h_{2}\in H_{2}\}} . Then: Growth ⁡ ( H 1 ⨂ H 2 , m ) ≤ Growth ⁡ ( H 1 , m ) ⋅ Growth ⁡ ( H 2 , m ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H_{1}\bigotimes H_{2},m)\leq \operatorname {Growth} (H_{1},m)\cdot \operatorname {Growth} (H_{2},m)} === Union === For every two set-families: Growth ⁡ ( H 1 ∪ H 2 , m ) ≤ Growth ⁡ ( H 1 , m ) + Growth ⁡ ( H 2 , m ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H_{1}\cup H_{2},m)\leq \operatorname {Growth} (H_{1},m)+\operatorname {Growth} (H_{2},m)} === VC dimension === The VC dimension of H {\displaystyle H} is defined according to these two cases: In the polynomial case, VCDim ⁡ ( H ) = n − 1 {\displaystyle \operatorname {VCDim} (H)=n-1} = the largest integer d {\displaystyle d} for which Growth ⁡ ( H , d ) = 2 d {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,d)=2^{d}} . In the exponential case VCDim ⁡ ( H ) = ∞ {\displaystyle \operatorname {VCDim} (H)=\infty } . So VCDim ⁡ ( H ) ≥ d {\displaystyle \operatorname {VCDim} (H)\geq d} if-and-only-if Growth ⁡ ( H , d ) = 2 d {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,d)=2^{d}} . The growth function can be regarded as a refinement of the concept of VC dimension. The VC dimension only tells us whether Growth ⁡ ( H , d ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,d)} is equal to or smaller than 2 d {\displaystyle 2^{d}} , while the growth function tells us exactly how Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)} changes as a function of m {\displaystyle m} . Another connection between the growth function and the VC dimension is given by the Sauer–Shelah lemma: If VCDim ⁡ ( H ) = d {\displaystyle \operatorname {VCDim} (H)=d} , then: for all m {\displaystyle m} : Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) ≤ ∑ i = 0 d ( m i ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)\leq \sum _{i=0}^{d}{m \choose i}} In particular, for all m > d + 1 {\displaystyle m>d+1} : Growth ⁡ ( H , m ) ≤ ( e m / d ) d = O ( m d ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {Growth} (H,m)\leq (

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  Mean squared prediction error

  In statistics the mean squared prediction error (MSPE), also known as mean squared error of the predictions, of a smoothing, curve fitting, or regression procedure is the expected value of the squared prediction errors (PE), the square difference between the fitted values implied by the predictive function g ^ {\displaystyle {\widehat {g}}} and the values of the (unobservable) true value g. It is an inverse measure of the explanatory power of g ^ , {\displaystyle {\widehat {g}},} and can be used in the process of cross-validation of an estimated model. Knowledge of g would be required in order to calculate the MSPE exactly; in practice, MSPE is estimated. == Formulation == If the smoothing or fitting procedure has projection matrix (i.e., hat matrix) L, which maps the observed values vector y {\displaystyle y} to predicted values vector y ^ = L y , {\displaystyle {\hat {y}}=Ly,} then PE and MSPE are formulated as: P E i = g ( x i ) − g ^ ( x i ) , {\displaystyle \operatorname {PE_{i}} =g(x_{i})-{\widehat {g}}(x_{i}),} MSPE = E ⁡ [ PE i 2 ] = ∑ i = 1 n PE i 2 ⁡ / n . {\displaystyle \operatorname {MSPE} =\operatorname {E} \left[\operatorname {PE} _{i}^{2}\right]=\sum _{i=1}^{n}\operatorname {PE} _{i}^{2}/n.} The MSPE can be decomposed into two terms: the squared bias (mean error) of the fitted values and the variance of the fitted values: MSPE = ME 2 + VAR , {\displaystyle \operatorname {MSPE} =\operatorname {ME} ^{2}+\operatorname {VAR} ,} ME = E ⁡ [ g ^ ( x i ) − g ( x i ) ] {\displaystyle \operatorname {ME} =\operatorname {E} \left[{\widehat {g}}(x_{i})-g(x_{i})\right]} VAR = E ⁡ [ ( g ^ ( x i ) − E ⁡ [ g ( x i ) ] ) 2 ] . {\displaystyle \operatorname {VAR} =\operatorname {E} \left[\left({\widehat {g}}(x_{i})-\operatorname {E} \left[{g}(x_{i})\right]\right)^{2}\right].} The quantity SSPE=nMSPE is called sum squared prediction error. The root mean squared prediction error is the square root of MSPE: RMSPE=√MSPE. == Computation of MSPE over out-of-sample data == The mean squared prediction error can be computed exactly in two contexts. First, with a data sample of length n, the data analyst may run the regression over only q of the data points (with q < n), holding back the other n – q data points with the specific purpose of using them to compute the estimated model’s MSPE out of sample (i.e., not using data that were used in the model estimation process). Since the regression process is tailored to the q in-sample points, normally the in-sample MSPE will be smaller than the out-of-sample one computed over the n – q held-back points. If the increase in the MSPE out of sample compared to in sample is relatively slight, that results in the model being viewed favorably. And if two models are to be compared, the one with the lower MSPE over the n – q out-of-sample data points is viewed more favorably, regardless of the models’ relative in-sample performances. The out-of-sample MSPE in this context is exact for the out-of-sample data points that it was computed over, but is merely an estimate of the model’s MSPE for the mostly unobserved population from which the data were drawn. Second, as time goes on more data may become available to the data analyst, and then the MSPE can be computed over these new data. == Estimation of MSPE over the population == When the model has been estimated over all available data with none held back, the MSPE of the model over the entire population of mostly unobserved data can be estimated as follows. For the model y i = g ( x i ) + σ ε i {\displaystyle y_{i}=g(x_{i})+\sigma \varepsilon _{i}} where ε i ∼ N ( 0 , 1 ) {\displaystyle \varepsilon _{i}\sim {\mathcal {N}}(0,1)} , one may write n ⋅ MSPE ⁡ ( L ) = g T ( I − L ) T ( I − L ) g + σ 2 tr ⁡ [ L T L ] . {\displaystyle n\cdot \operatorname {MSPE} (L)=g^{\text{T}}(I-L)^{\text{T}}(I-L)g+\sigma ^{2}\operatorname {tr} \left[L^{\text{T}}L\right].} Using in-sample data values, the first term on the right side is equivalent to ∑ i = 1 n ( E ⁡ [ g ( x i ) − g ^ ( x i ) ] ) 2 = E ⁡ [ ∑ i = 1 n ( y i − g ^ ( x i ) ) 2 ] − σ 2 tr ⁡ [ ( I − L ) T ( I − L ) ] . {\displaystyle \sum _{i=1}^{n}\left(\operatorname {E} \left[g(x_{i})-{\widehat {g}}(x_{i})\right]\right)^{2}=\operatorname {E} \left[\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left(y_{i}-{\widehat {g}}(x_{i})\right)^{2}\right]-\sigma ^{2}\operatorname {tr} \left[\left(I-L\right)^{T}\left(I-L\right)\right].} Thus, n ⋅ MSPE ⁡ ( L ) = E ⁡ [ ∑ i = 1 n ( y i − g ^ ( x i ) ) 2 ] − σ 2 ( n − tr ⁡ [ L ] ) . {\displaystyle n\cdot \operatorname {MSPE} (L)=\operatorname {E} \left[\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left(y_{i}-{\widehat {g}}(x_{i})\right)^{2}\right]-\sigma ^{2}\left(n-\operatorname {tr} \left[L\right]\right).} If σ 2 {\displaystyle \sigma ^{2}} is known or well-estimated by σ ^ 2 {\displaystyle {\widehat {\sigma }}^{2}} , it becomes possible to estimate MSPE by n ⋅ M S P E ^ ⁡ ( L ) = ∑ i = 1 n ( y i − g ^ ( x i ) ) 2 − σ ^ 2 ( n − tr ⁡ [ L ] ) . {\displaystyle n\cdot \operatorname {\widehat {MSPE}} (L)=\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left(y_{i}-{\widehat {g}}(x_{i})\right)^{2}-{\widehat {\sigma }}^{2}\left(n-\operatorname {tr} \left[L\right]\right).} Colin Mallows advocated this method in the construction of his model selection statistic Cp, which is a normalized version of the estimated MSPE: C p = ∑ i = 1 n ( y i − g ^ ( x i ) ) 2 σ ^ 2 − n + 2 p . {\displaystyle C_{p}={\frac {\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left(y_{i}-{\widehat {g}}(x_{i})\right)^{2}}{{\widehat {\sigma }}^{2}}}-n+2p.} where p the number of estimated parameters p and σ ^ 2 {\displaystyle {\widehat {\sigma }}^{2}} is computed from the version of the model that includes all possible regressors. That concludes this proof.

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